Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 August

Burnley

W L L L L

No standing data

2-1

26/08/2025 14:45

Derby County

D L D L W

No standing data

England League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Burnley to win with probability 61%.
Head-to-head history favors Burnley, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-08-26

Burnley vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Derby County

2025-08-26 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/08/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Burnley and Derby County in the England League Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

08/04/2025 14:45

Derby County

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Burnley

0 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

25/01/2016 15:45

Burnley

4 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

21/09/2015 14:45

Derby County

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

01/03/2014 11:00

Burnley

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

31/08/2013 10:00

Derby County

0 - 3

Burnley

ENG LCH

Burnley

50%

Draw

50%

Derby County

Burnley Last 6 matches

23/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 2 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG PR

16/08/2025 10:00

Tottenham Hotspur 3 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

09/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Lazio INT CF

02/08/2025 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 0 Burnley INT CF

29/07/2025 14:30

Warrington Rylands 3 - 2 Burnley INT CF

26/07/2025 10:00

Huddersfield Town 0 - 2 Burnley INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Derby County

22/08/2025 15:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Bristol City ENG LCH

16/08/2025 07:30

Derby County 3 - 5 Coventry City ENG LCH

12/08/2025 14:45

West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LC

09/08/2025 10:00

Stoke City 3 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

02/08/2025 10:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Atromitos Athens INT CF

29/07/2025 14:45

Solihull Moors 2 - 4 Derby County INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

223

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

143 (48%)153 (52%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

160 (53%)140 (47%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Derby County

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Burnley Pass Derby County

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.32

4.71

1393

Corners

1524

5.08

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.77

524

Offsides

562

1.87

2.77

820

GK saves

684

2.28

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

527

1.76

0.06

0.05

9.71

2875

Fouls

2991

9.97

12.57

3720

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League Cup standings and the England League Cup form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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