Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 August

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Burnley vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 26/08/2025 14:45

Burnley
2 - 1
Finished
Derby County
90+4' event Aaron Ramsey
90+1' event Oliver Sonne
78' event Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Zian Flemming
63' event Ashley Barnes / Armando Broja
62' event Jaydon Banel / Loum Tchaouna
46' event Axel Tuanzebe / Bashir Humphreys
4' event Aaron Ramsey
event 70' Kane Wilson / Joe Ward
event 62' Dajaune Brown / Bobby Clark
event 62' Liam Thompson / Ben Osborne
event 62' Andreas Weimann / Rhian Brewster
event 56' Adams Ebrima
event 46' Matthew Clarke / Callum Elder
event 35' Bobby Clark
90+4' event Aaron Ramsey
event 70' Kane Wilson / Joe Ward
90+1' event Oliver Sonne
event 62' Dajaune Brown / Bobby Clark
78' event Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Zian Flemming
event 62' Liam Thompson / Ben Osborne
63' event Ashley Barnes / Armando Broja
event 62' Andreas Weimann / Rhian Brewster
62' event Jaydon Banel / Loum Tchaouna
event 56' Adams Ebrima
46' event Axel Tuanzebe / Bashir Humphreys
event 46' Matthew Clarke / Callum Elder
4' event Aaron Ramsey
event 35' Bobby Clark
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#34 Jaydon Banel
#35 Ashley Barnes
#44 Hannes Delcroix
#32 Vaclav Hladky
#53 Marley Leuluai
#54 Oliver Pimlott
#31 Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye
#6 Axel Tuanzebe
#42 Tom Tweedy
Burnley Burnley Derby County Derby County
13Shots8
5Shots on Goal2
6Fouls11
5Corner Kick3
11Free kick6
0Offside2
1Yellow card1
38Aerial33
1Save3
13Successful Tackles6
8Interceptions17
28Long pass21
2Successful center5
3Shots off goal3
1Hit The Post0
21Head Success15
5Blocked3
13Tackle6
5Dribbles8
18Throw-in13
510Passes415
101Attacks97
59Dangerous attacks28
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#39 Dajaune Brown
#5 Matthew Clarke
#17 Kenzo Goudmijn
#24 Ryan Nyambe
#12 Richard ODonnell
#16 Liam Thompson
#14 Andreas Weimann
#48 Lennon Wheeldon
#2 Kane Wilson
Commentary
90+4' Aaron Ramsey - Burnley receive a yellow card
90+1' Goal! Oliver Sonne - Burnley
78' Burnley — substitution: Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Zian Flemming
70' Derby County — substitution: Kane Wilson / Joe Ward
63' Burnley — substitution: Ashley Barnes / Armando Broja
62' Burnley — substitution: Jaydon Banel / Loum Tchaouna
62' Derby County — substitution: Dajaune Brown / Bobby Clark
62' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / Ben Osborne
62' Derby County — substitution: Andreas Weimann / Rhian Brewster
56' Adams Ebrima - Derby County receive a yellow card
46' Burnley — substitution: Axel Tuanzebe / Bashir Humphreys
46' Derby County — substitution: Matthew Clarke / Callum Elder
35' Goal! Bobby Clark - Derby County
4' Goal! Aaron Ramsey - Burnley

How We Build the Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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