Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 August

Burnley
WLLLL
No standing data
1
2-1
FT
26/08/2025 14:45
Derby County
DLDLW
No standing data
England League Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

  • Burnley will face Derby County in England League Cup on August 26, 2025 at 14:45.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.48.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:45

2025-08-26

Burnley vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Burnley
Burnley
Derby County
Derby County
2025-08-26 14:45
61
22
17
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.48
FT
2-1 1-1
-
weather
16℃～17℃
STANDINGS UP TO 26/08/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Burnley and Derby County in the England League Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
08/04/2025 14:45
Derby County Derby County
0 - 0
Burnley Burnley
ENG LCH
10/12/2024 15:45
Burnley Burnley
0 - 0
Derby County Derby County
ENG LCH
25/01/2016 15:45
Burnley Burnley
4 - 1
Derby County Derby County
ENG LCH
21/09/2015 14:45
Derby County Derby County
0 - 0
Burnley Burnley
ENG LCH
01/03/2014 11:00
Burnley Burnley
2 - 0
Derby County Derby County
ENG LCH
31/08/2013 10:00
Derby County Derby County
0 - 3
Burnley Burnley
ENG LCH
Derby County
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
Burnley
1
17%
Burnley Burnley Last 6 matches
23/08/2025 10:00
Burnley 2 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C
ENG PR
16/08/2025 10:00
Tottenham Hotspur 3 - 0 Burnley
ENG PR
09/08/2025 10:00
Burnley 0 - 1 Lazio
INT CF
02/08/2025 10:00
Stoke City 1 - 0 Burnley
INT CF
29/07/2025 14:30
Warrington Rylands 3 - 2 Burnley
INT CF
26/07/2025 10:00
Huddersfield Town 0 - 2 Burnley
INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Derby County Derby County
22/08/2025 15:00
Derby County 1 - 1 Bristol City
ENG LCH
16/08/2025 07:30
Derby County 3 - 5 Coventry City
ENG LCH
12/08/2025 14:45
West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 1 Derby County
ENG LC
09/08/2025 10:00
Stoke City 3 - 1 Derby County
ENG LCH
02/08/2025 10:00
Derby County 2 - 0 Atromitos Athens
INT CF
29/07/2025 14:45
Solihull Moors 2 - 4 Derby County
INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues England League Cup
Played games
Burnley
Burnley
42
 Derby County
Derby County
49
Goals
Scored
47
Avg. per game
1.12
Conceded
81
Avg. per game
1.93
Scored
70
Avg. per game
1.43
Conceded
65
Avg. per game
1.33
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 42 matches
YesNo
28 (67%)14 (33%)
In last 42 matches
NoYes
45 (92%)4 (8%)
Burnley

Burnley

Recent matches

Derby County

Derby County

Under /Over

(86%)36 6(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(40%)17 25(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(43%)18 24(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(62%)26 16(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Burnley Burnley
Derby County Derby County
Shots
Burnley
Burnley
Total shots
10.02 avg / game
Blocked
137 total
Avg. 3.43
Derby County
Derby County
Total shots
10.71 avg / game
Blocked
153 total
Avg. 3.26
Burnley Burnley Pass Derby County Derby County
Total passes
16393
Avg. 390 / game
Accurate
77%
Ball possession
44%
Total passes
16580
Avg. 338 / game
Accurate
73%
Ball possession
44%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Burnley
Burnley
3645
Avg. 86.79 / game
 Derby County
Derby County
4323
Avg. 88.22 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Burnley
Burnley
1684
Avg. 40.10 / game
 Derby County
Derby County
2035
Avg. 41.53 / game
OTHERS
Burnley
Burnley
42
Played games
Derby County
Derby County
49
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.10
4
Clean sheets
12
0.24
3.76
158
Corners
221
4.51
18.12
761
Throw-ins
1061
21.65
1.50
63
Offsides
72
1.47
3.50
147
GK saves
160
3.27
Burnley
Burnley
DISCIPLINARY
Derby County
Derby County
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.76
74
Yellow card
120
2.45
0.07
3
Red card
3
0.06
10.33
434
Fouls
604
12.33
9.64
405
Tackles
458
9.35
NEXT MATCHES
07/26
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
VS
Burnley Burnley
INT
07/29
Burnley Burnley
VS
RCD Espanyol RCD Espanyol
INT
08/06
Burnley Burnley
VS
Notts County Notts County
ENG
08/16
Burnley Burnley
VS
West Ham United West Ham United
ENG
08/22
West Bromwich(WBA) West Bromwich(WBA)
VS
Burnley Burnley
ENG
NEXT MATCHES
08/06
Derby County Derby County
VS
Lincoln City Lincoln City
ENG
08/15
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
VS
Derby County Derby County
ENG
08/22
Derby County Derby County
VS
Cardiff City Cardiff City
ENG
08/29
Derby County Derby County
VS
Swansea City Swansea City
ENG
09/01
Portsmouth Portsmouth
VS
Derby County Derby County
ENG

How We Build the Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League Cup standings and the England League Cup form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England League Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming England League Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less