Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 August

Burnley

W L L L L

No standing data

2-1

26/08/2025 14:45

Derby County

D L D L W

No standing data

England League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Burnley will face Derby County in England League Cup on August 26, 2025 at 14:45.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.48.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-08-26

Burnley vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Derby County

2025-08-26 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/08/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Burnley and Derby County in the England League Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

08/04/2025 14:45

Derby County

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Burnley

0 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

25/01/2016 15:45

Burnley

4 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

21/09/2015 14:45

Derby County

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

01/03/2014 11:00

Burnley

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

31/08/2013 10:00

Derby County

0 - 3

Burnley

ENG LCH

Derby County

33%

Draw

50%

Burnley

17%

Burnley Last 6 matches

23/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 2 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C

ENG PR

16/08/2025 10:00

Tottenham Hotspur 3 - 0 Burnley

ENG PR

09/08/2025 10:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Lazio

INT CF

02/08/2025 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 0 Burnley

INT CF

29/07/2025 14:30

Warrington Rylands 3 - 2 Burnley

INT CF

26/07/2025 10:00

Huddersfield Town 0 - 2 Burnley

INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Derby County

22/08/2025 15:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Bristol City

ENG LCH

16/08/2025 07:30

Derby County 3 - 5 Coventry City

ENG LCH

12/08/2025 14:45

West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 1 Derby County

ENG LC

09/08/2025 10:00

Stoke City 3 - 1 Derby County

ENG LCH

02/08/2025 10:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Atromitos Athens

INT CF

29/07/2025 14:45

Solihull Moors 2 - 4 Derby County

INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League Cup

Played games

Burnley

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (100%)0 (0%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(100%)2 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)2 0(0%)

Under /Over

(100%)2 0(0%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 2(100%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

/Yes

(100%)2 0(0%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(100%)2 0(0%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Derby County

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

14.00 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 4.50

Derby County

Total shots

6.00 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Burnley Pass Derby County

Total passes

961

Avg. 481 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

826

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.00

3.50

Corners

2.50

19.50

Throw-ins

14.50

1.00

Offsides

1.50

1.00

GK saves

4.00

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

2.00

0.00

0.00

9.50

Fouls

10.00

Tackles

12.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 26 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League Cup standings and the England League Cup form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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