Stoke City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 August

Stoke City

L D L L L

17th place in England Championship

3-1

09/08/2025 10:00

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Stoke City vs Derby County on 09 August 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Stoke City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Stoke City will face Derby County in England Championship on August 9, 2025 at 10:00.
Stoke City are currently 17th with 55 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.11.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-08-09

Stoke City vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Stoke City

Derby County

2025-08-09 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/08/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

03/05/2025 07:30

Derby County

0 - 0

Stoke City

ENG LCH

02/11/2024 08:30

Stoke City

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/07/2023 10:00

Derby County

3 - 0

Stoke City

INT CF

30/12/2021 15:45

Stoke City

1 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

18/09/2021 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Stoke City

ENG LCH

20/03/2021 11:00

Stoke City

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

67%

Draw

17%

Stoke City

17%

Stoke City Last 6 matches

26/07/2025 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 1 Wolves

INT CF

23/07/2025 14:30

Crewe Alexandra 1 - 2 Stoke City

INT CF

16/07/2025 13:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 1 Stoke City

INT CF

09/07/2025 08:00

Stoke City 0 - 1 Shrewsbury Town

INT CF

03/05/2025 07:30

Derby County 0 - 0 Stoke City

ENG LCH

25/04/2025 15:00

Stoke City 0 - 2 Sheffield United

ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

29/07/2025 14:45

Solihull Moors 2 - 4 Derby County

INT CF

26/07/2025 10:00

Burton Albion 2 - 1 Derby County

INT CF

22/07/2025 14:30

Walsall 2 - 3 Derby County

INT CF

18/07/2025 12:00

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 2 Derby County

INT CF

12/07/2025 08:00

Matlock Town 1 - 1 Derby County

INT CF

03/05/2025 07:30

Derby County 0 - 0 Stoke City

ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Stoke City

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.22

Scored

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.28

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

29 (63%)17 (37%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

42 (91%)4 (9%)

Stoke City

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Stoke City

Derby County

Shots

Stoke City

Total shots

11.43 avg / game

Blocked

149 total

Avg. 3.55

Derby County

Total shots

11.00 avg / game

Blocked

149 total

Avg. 3.31

Stoke City Pass Derby County

Total passes

18373

Avg. 399 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

15492

Avg. 337 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Stoke City

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.26

5.98

275

Corners

211

4.59

22.72

1045

Throw-ins

1015

22.07

2.61

120

Offsides

1.50

2.61

120

GK saves

144

3.13

Stoke City

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

115

2.50

0.11

0.07

10.30

474

Fouls

568

12.35

8.11

373

Tackles

423

9.20

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Stoke City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Stoke City vs Derby County on 09 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Stoke City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Stoke City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Stoke City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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