Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 09

Tobol Kostanai

W L W D W

10th place in Kazakhstan Premier League

1-0

09/05/2026 11:00

Irtysh Pavlodar

D L D L W

15th place in Kazakhstan Premier League

Kazakhstan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on May 09, 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar preview before placing for you.

Tobol Kostanai are currently 10th with 22 points after 20 matches.
Irtysh Pavlodar sit 15th with 17 points from 19 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tobol Kostanai to win with probability 53%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-09

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar - Prediction & Odds

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

2026-05-09 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ordabasy	46	20	14	4	2	36	15	21
02 FC Kairat Almaty	45	20	13	6	1	39	14	25
03 FC Astana	35	19	10	5	4	31	20	11
04 Okzhetpes	33	20	9	6	5	29	27	2
05 FK Aktobe Lento	31	20	9	4	7	29	24	5
06 FK Yelimay Semey	28	19	7	7	5	26	23	3
07 Ulytau Zhezkazgan	27	20	7	6	7	16	20	-4
08 Zhenis	23	20	5	8	7	17	23	-6
09 Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk	22	20	6	4	10	23	28	-5
10 Tobol Kostanai	22	20	6	4	10	21	28	-7
11 FK Kaspyi Aktau	21	20	6	3	11	21	28	-7
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	20	3	11	6	15	22	-7
13 FK Atyrau	19	19	3	10	6	14	18	-4
14 FC Zhetysu Taldykorgan	19	20	4	7	9	23	30	-7
15 Irtysh Pavlodar	17	19	3	8	8	19	25	-6
16 Altay FK	16	20	3	7	10	16	30	-14

Tobol Kostanai Last 6 matches

02/08/2026 22:00

Ordabasy 2 - 0 Tobol Kostanai Kazakhstan Premier League

30/07/2026 21:00

Tobol Kostanai 1 - 1 FK Panevezys UEFA Conference League

26/07/2026 20:00

Tobol Kostanai 1 - 0 FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League

23/07/2026 22:30

FK Panevezys 1 - 1 Tobol Kostanai UEFA Conference League

18/07/2026 20:00

Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1 - 1 Tobol Kostanai Kazakhstan Premier League

12/07/2026 22:00

Tobol Kostanai 3 - 1 Okzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Irtysh Pavlodar

01/08/2026 19:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 3 - 2 FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League

25/07/2026 20:00

Ulytau Zhezkazgan 1 - 2 Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League

11/07/2026 19:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 0 - 1 Zhenis Kazakhstan Premier League

05/07/2026 22:00

Kaisar Kyzylorda 0 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League

28/06/2026 19:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 1 - 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League

20/06/2026 20:00

Zhenis 0 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Kazakhstan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

0.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 20 matches

YesNo

10 (50%)10 (50%)

In last 20 matches

NoYes

6 (32%)13 (68%)

Tobol Kostanai

Recent matches

Irtysh Pavlodar

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

Under /Over

(35%)7 13(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

/Yes

(55%)11 9(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

Shots

Tobol Kostanai

Total shots

12.00 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 3.00

Irtysh Pavlodar

Total shots

11.61 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 2.20

Tobol Kostanai Pass Irtysh Pavlodar

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tobol Kostanai

Played games

Irtysh Pavlodar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.16

4.85

Corners

4.37

4.15

Throw-ins

5.11

1.20

Offsides

1.16

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tobol Kostanai

DISCIPLINARY

Irtysh Pavlodar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

2.05

0.30

0.11

13.10

262

Fouls

229

12.05

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

FC Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Irtysh Pavlodar

KAZ

How We Build the Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Kazakhstan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tobol Kostanai's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Irtysh Pavlodar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Kazakhstan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Kazakhstan Premier League standings and the Kazakhstan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Tobol Kostanai and Irtysh Pavlodar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Kazakhstan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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