Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Betiball's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar preview before placing your bet.

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar: Starting Lineups Time : 09/05/2026 11:00

Tobol Kostanai
1 - 0
Finished
Irtysh Pavlodar
90+2' event Meyrambek Kalmyrza / Nauryzbek Zhagorov
90+1' event Mohamed Amine Talal / Askhat Tagybergen
90' event Sultan Busurmanov
80' event Damir Marat / Zhaslan Zhumashev
52' event Uros Milovanovic
46' event Aleksandr Zuev / Dauren Zhumat
45+3' event Roman Asrankulov
event 90' Miras Turlybek
event 90' Tamerlan Agimanov
event 74' Miras Omatay / Samat Zharynbetov
event 74' Daniil Nyrkov / Danila Nechaev
event 61' Vyacheslav Shvyrev / Yushi Shimamura
event 61' Tamerlan Agimanov / Pavel Sedko
event 43' Nurdaulet Baybosynov / Jean Morel Poe
90+2' event Meyrambek Kalmyrza / Nauryzbek Zhagorov
event 90' Miras Turlybek
90+1' event Mohamed Amine Talal / Askhat Tagybergen
event 90' Tamerlan Agimanov
90' event Sultan Busurmanov
event 74' Miras Omatay / Samat Zharynbetov
80' event Damir Marat / Zhaslan Zhumashev
event 74' Daniil Nyrkov / Danila Nechaev
52' event Uros Milovanovic
event 61' Vyacheslav Shvyrev / Yushi Shimamura
46' event Aleksandr Zuev / Dauren Zhumat
event 61' Tamerlan Agimanov / Pavel Sedko
45+3' event Roman Asrankulov
event 43' Nurdaulet Baybosynov / Jean Morel Poe
Tobol Kostanai Tobol Kostanai
Substitutions
#38 Amanzhol Bakitzhanov
#26 Kirill Glushchenkov
#88 Meyrambek Kalmyrza
#11 Damir Marat
#35 Yuri Melikhov
#51 David Mukhin
#6 Maksim Myakish
#33 Ivan Pivovarov
#14 Mohamed Amine Talal
#29 Daniyar Usenov
#17 Aleksandr Zuev
Tobol Kostanai Tobol Kostanai Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar
20Shots11
6Shots on Goal5
9Fouls7
7Corner Kick5
8Free kick8
3Offside3
1Yellow card2
1Red card0
14Shots off goal6
101Attacks94
65Dangerous attacks56
3Corner Kicks(HT)0
Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar
Substitutions
#10 Tamerlan Agimanov
#13 Nurdaulet Baybosynov
#21 Arsen Buranchiev
#12 Ramazan Karimov
#15 Daniil Nyrkov
#9 Miras Omatay
#19 Artyom Popov
#14 Vyacheslav Raskatov
#1 Miras Rikhard
#18 Vyacheslav Shvyrev
#20 Adilet Usenov
Commentary
90+2' Tobol Kostanai — substitution: Meyrambek Kalmyrza / Nauryzbek Zhagorov
90+1' Tobol Kostanai — substitution: Mohamed Amine Talal / Askhat Tagybergen
90' Sultan Busurmanov - Tobol Kostanai receive a yellow card
90' Miras Turlybek - Irtysh Pavlodar receive a yellow card
90' Tamerlan Agimanov - Irtysh Pavlodar receive a yellow card
80' Tobol Kostanai — substitution: Damir Marat / Zhaslan Zhumashev
74' Irtysh Pavlodar — substitution: Miras Omatay / Samat Zharynbetov
74' Irtysh Pavlodar — substitution: Daniil Nyrkov / Danila Nechaev
61' Irtysh Pavlodar — substitution: Vyacheslav Shvyrev / Yushi Shimamura
61' Irtysh Pavlodar — substitution: Tamerlan Agimanov / Pavel Sedko
52' Goal! Uros Milovanovic - Tobol Kostanai
46' Tobol Kostanai — substitution: Aleksandr Zuev / Dauren Zhumat
45+3' Roman Asrankulov - Tobol Kostanai receive a red card
43' Irtysh Pavlodar — substitution: Nurdaulet Baybosynov / Jean Morel Poe

How We Build the Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tobol Kostanai's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Irtysh Pavlodar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Tobol Kostanai and Irtysh Pavlodar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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