Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Tobol Kostanai

W L W L W

9th place in Kazakhstan Premier League

1-0

09/05/2026 11:00

Irtysh Pavlodar

D L D L D

16th place in Kazakhstan Premier League

Kazakhstan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar preview before placing your bet.

Tobol Kostanai will face Irtysh Pavlodar in Kazakhstan Premier League on May 9, 2026 at 11:00.
Tobol Kostanai are currently 9th with 19 points after 18 matches.
Irtysh Pavlodar sit 16th with 11 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.69.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-09

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar - Prediction & Odds

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

2026-05-09 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ordabasy	43	18	13	4	1	33	13	20
02 FC Kairat Almaty	42	19	12	6	1	37	13	24
03 Okzhetpes	30	18	8	6	4	24	24	0
04 FC Astana	29	17	8	5	4	25	19	6
05 FK Aktobe Lento	28	18	8	4	6	26	20	6
06 Ulytau Zhezkazgan	27	18	7	6	5	15	16	-1
07 FK Yelimay Semey	26	17	7	5	5	25	22	3
08 Zhenis	22	18	5	7	6	15	20	-5
09 Tobol Kostanai	19	18	5	4	9	20	26	-6
10 Kaisar Kyzylorda	19	19	3	10	6	14	21	-7
11 FK Atyrau	18	17	3	9	5	13	16	-3
12 FC Zhetysu Taldykorgan	18	18	4	6	8	21	27	-6
13 FK Kaspyi Aktau	18	18	5	3	10	16	23	-7
14 Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk	16	18	4	4	10	18	26	-8
15 Altay FK	16	18	3	7	8	14	22	-8
16 Irtysh Pavlodar	11	17	1	8	8	14	22	-8

Tobol Kostanai Last 6 matches

18/07/2026 20:00

Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1 - 1 Tobol Kostanai

Kazakhstan Premier League

12/07/2026 22:00

Tobol Kostanai 3 - 1 Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Premier League

04/07/2026 19:00

Altay FK 1 - 0 Tobol Kostanai

Kazakhstan Premier League

28/06/2026 20:00

Tobol Kostanai 3 - 1 Altay FK

Kazakhstan Premier League

21/06/2026 19:00

Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Tobol Kostanai

Kazakhstan Premier League

13/06/2026 18:00

Tobol Kostanai 2 - 0 Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk

Kazakhstan Premier League

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Irtysh Pavlodar

11/07/2026 19:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 0 - 1 Zhenis

Kazakhstan Premier League

05/07/2026 22:00

Kaisar Kyzylorda 0 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar

Kazakhstan Premier League

28/06/2026 19:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 1 - 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda

Kazakhstan Premier League

20/06/2026 20:00

Zhenis 0 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar

Kazakhstan Premier League

14/06/2026 21:00

FC Astana 2 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar

Kazakhstan Premier League

27/05/2026 20:00

Irtysh Pavlodar 1 - 1 Ulytau Zhezkazgan

Kazakhstan Premier League

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Kazakhstan Premier Lea...

Played games

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.44

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 18 matches

YesNo

13 (72%)5 (28%)

In last 18 matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

Tobol Kostanai

Recent matches

Irtysh Pavlodar

Under /Over

(78%)14 4(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(61%)11 7(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tobol Kostanai

Irtysh Pavlodar

Shots

Tobol Kostanai

Total shots

12.17 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 3.00

Irtysh Pavlodar

Total shots

11.19 avg / game

Blocked

8 total

Avg. 2.67

Tobol Kostanai Pass Irtysh Pavlodar

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tobol Kostanai

Played games

Irtysh Pavlodar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.11

Clean sheets

0.18

5.06

Corners

3.88

4.61

Throw-ins

4.59

1.28

Offsides

1.12

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tobol Kostanai

DISCIPLINARY

Irtysh Pavlodar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

1.94

0.28

0.12

13.06

235

Fouls

199

11.71

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Kazakhstan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tobol Kostanai vs Irtysh Pavlodar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tobol Kostanai's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Irtysh Pavlodar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Kazakhstan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Kazakhstan Premier League standings and the Kazakhstan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Tobol Kostanai and Irtysh Pavlodar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Kazakhstan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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