Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Sao Paulo

L L D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

2-0

11/02/2026 20:30

Gremio (RS)

L D W L L

17th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo are currently 12th with 26 points after 20 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 17th with 22 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-02-11

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

2026-02-11 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

16/10/2025 18:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

17/05/2025 20:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

01/12/2024 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

17/07/2024 19:00

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

21/10/2023 17:30

Sao Paulo

3 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

04/06/2023 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

50%

Draw

Gremio (RS)

50%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 19:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Primavera BRA SP

04/02/2026 19:00

Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA D1

31/01/2026 19:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Santos BRA SP

28/01/2026 20:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Flamengo BRA D1

24/01/2026 17:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

21/01/2026 18:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 3 Portuguesa Desportos BRA SP

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

07/02/2026 17:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Novo Hamburgo RS BRA CGD1

04/02/2026 20:30

Gremio (RS) 5 - 3 Botafogo RJ BRA D1

31/01/2026 15:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Juventude BRA CGD1

28/01/2026 18:30

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

25/01/2026 19:00

Internacional RS 4 - 2 Gremio (RS) BRA CGD1

21/01/2026 21:10

Guarany de Bage 0 - 2 Gremio (RS) BRA CGD1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Goals

Scored

393

Avg. per game

1.31

Conceded

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Scored

439

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

318

Avg. per game

1.06

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

220 (73%)80 (27%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

224 (75%)76 (25%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

655 total

Avg. 3.13

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

11.12 avg / game

Blocked

511 total

Avg. 3.02

Sao Paulo Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

114258

Avg. 423 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

83202

Avg. 363 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

300

Played games

Gremio (RS)

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.93

1480

Corners

1412

4.71

12.36

3709

Throw-ins

3183

10.61

1.34

402

Offsides

291

0.97

2.09

628

GK saves

638

2.13

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

585

593

1.98

0.09

0.12

11.07

3320

Fouls

2801

9.34

10.88

3264

Tackles

3046

10.15

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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