Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Starting Lineups Time : 11/02/2026 20:30

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Finished
Gremio (RS)
85' event Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira / Luciano da Rocha Neves
85' event Pedro Ferreira / Marcos Antonio Silva San
71' event Nahuel Ferraresi / Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
70' event Gonzalo Tapia / Alan Franco
64' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
59' event Jonathan Calleri
45+4' event Pablo Maia
43' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
32' event Pablo Maia / Damian Bobadilla
24' event Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
event 90+5' Andre Henrique
event 68' Jose Enamorado / Joao Pedro Maturano dos Santos
event 68' Cristian Pavon / Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
event 68' Andre Henrique / Carlos Vinicius Alves Morais
event 52' Gustavo Martins / Francis Amuzu
event 49' Wagner Leonardo Card changed
event 47' Wagner Leonardo
event 45+5' Wagner Leonardo
event 40' Willian Borges da Silva / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
event 22' Weverton Pereira da Silva
85' event Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira / Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 90+5' Andre Henrique
85' event Pedro Ferreira / Marcos Antonio Silva San
event 68' Jose Enamorado / Joao Pedro Maturano dos Santos
71' event Nahuel Ferraresi / Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
event 68' Cristian Pavon / Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
70' event Gonzalo Tapia / Alan Franco
event 68' Andre Henrique / Carlos Vinicius Alves Morais
64' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 52' Gustavo Martins / Francis Amuzu
59' event Jonathan Calleri
event 49' Wagner Leonardo Card changed
45+4' event Pablo Maia
event 47' Wagner Leonardo
43' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 45+5' Wagner Leonardo
32' event Pablo Maia / Damian Bobadilla
event 40' Willian Borges da Silva / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
24' event Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
event 22' Weverton Pereira da Silva
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Substitutions
#29 Pablo Maia
#14 Gonzalo Tapia
#32 Nahuel Ferraresi
#46 Pedro Ferreira
#11 Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira
#31 Carlos Miguel
#42 Maik Viegas
#18 Wendell
#2 Rafael Toloi
#4 Matheus Doria Macedo
#33 Luan Santos
#45 Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
18Shots5
4Shots on Goal1
11Fouls16
3Corner Kick3
14Free kick11
2Offside0
2Yellow card4
0Red card1
11Aerial17
1Save2
10Successful Tackles13
10Interceptions3
18Long pass34
1Assist0
6Successful center6
12Shots off goal4
1Hit The Post0
6Head Success8
2Blocked0
10Tackle12
6Dribbles7
11Throw-in11
516Passes381
96Attacks74
62Dangerous attacks30
0Corner Kicks(HT)2
5BigChances0
3BigChancesMissed0
12ShotsInsideBox4
6ShotsOutsideBox1
43DuelsWon43
4.39ExpectedGoals0.31
2.65xGOpenPlay0.28
2.81xGNonPenalty0.31
2.52xGOT0.48
33Touches In Opposition Box14
19AccurateCrosses12
37GroundDuelsWon35
6AerialDuelsWon8
10Clearances23
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
Substitutions
#88 Willian Borges da Silva
#53 Gustavo Martins
#7 Cristian Pavon
#99 Jose Enamorado
#77 Andre Henrique
#12 Gabriel Chapeco
#14 Marcos Rocha Aquino
#4 Walter Kannemann
#38 Caio Paulista
#39 Tiaguinho
#17 Douglas Moreira Fagundes
#37 Gabriel Mec
Commentary
90+5' Andre Henrique - Gremio (RS) receive a yellow card
85' Sao Paulo — substitution: Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira / Luciano da Rocha Neves
85' Sao Paulo — substitution: Pedro Ferreira / Marcos Antonio Silva San
71' Sao Paulo — substitution: Nahuel Ferraresi / Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
70' Sao Paulo — substitution: Gonzalo Tapia / Alan Franco
68' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Jose Enamorado / Joao Pedro Maturano dos Santos
68' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Cristian Pavon / Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
68' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Andre Henrique / Carlos Vinicius Alves Morais
64' Penalty missed! Luciano da Rocha Neves - Sao Paulo
59' Goal! Jonathan Calleri - Sao Paulo
52' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Gustavo Martins / Francis Amuzu
49' VAR review - Gremio (RS)
47' Wagner Leonardo - Gremio (RS) receive second yellow card
45+5' Wagner Leonardo - Gremio (RS) receive a yellow card
45+4' Pablo Maia - Sao Paulo receive a yellow card
43' Luciano da Rocha Neves - Sao Paulo receive a yellow card
40' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Willian Borges da Silva / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
32' Sao Paulo — substitution: Pablo Maia / Damian Bobadilla
24' Penalty scored! Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho - Sao Paulo
22' Weverton Pereira da Silva - Gremio (RS) receive a yellow card

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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