Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Sao Paulo

W D L L D

8th place in Brazil Serie A

2-0

11/02/2026 20:30

Gremio (RS)

D L D W L

16th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo will face Gremio (RS) in Brazil Serie A on February 11, 2026 at 20:30.
Sao Paulo are currently 8th with 25 points after 18 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 16th with 21 points from 19 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.01.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-02-11

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

2026-02-11 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	41	18	12	5	1	30	13	17
02 Flamengo	34	17	10	4	3	31	16	15
03 Fluminense RJ	32	19	9	5	5	29	24	5
04 Bragantino	30	19	9	3	7	26	20	6
05 Atletico Paranaense	30	18	9	3	6	24	18	6
06 Bahia	30	19	8	6	5	28	24	4
07 Coritiba PR	26	18	7	5	6	24	24	0
08 Sao Paulo	25	18	7	4	7	23	20	3
09 Botafogo RJ	25	18	7	4	7	33	32	1
10 Atletico Mineiro	25	19	7	4	8	23	24	-1
11 Vitoria BA	25	18	7	4	7	22	25	-3
12 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	24	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1
13 Cruzeiro	24	18	6	6	6	24	28	-4
14 Internacional RS	21	18	5	6	7	21	22	-1
15 Santos	21	19	5	6	8	27	31	-4
16 Gremio (RS)	21	19	5	6	8	21	25	-4
17 Vasco da Gama	20	19	5	5	9	22	30	-8
18 Mirassol	19	18	5	4	9	20	25	-5
19 Remo Belem (PA)	18	18	4	6	8	21	29	-8
20 Chapecoense SC	9	18	1	6	11	17	35	-18

Head To Head

16/10/2025 18:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

17/05/2025 20:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

01/12/2024 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

17/07/2024 19:00

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

21/10/2023 17:30

Sao Paulo

3 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

04/06/2023 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

Gremio (RS)

100%

Draw

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 19:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Primavera

BRA SP

04/02/2026 19:00

Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

BRA D1

31/01/2026 19:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Santos

BRA SP

28/01/2026 20:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Flamengo

BRA D1

24/01/2026 17:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo

BRA SP

21/01/2026 18:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 3 Portuguesa Desportos

BRA SP

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

07/02/2026 17:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Novo Hamburgo RS

BRA CGD1

04/02/2026 20:30

Gremio (RS) 5 - 3 Botafogo RJ

BRA D1

31/01/2026 15:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Juventude

BRA CGD1

28/01/2026 18:30

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

25/01/2026 19:00

Internacional RS 4 - 2 Gremio (RS)

BRA CGD1

21/01/2026 21:10

Guarany de Bage 0 - 2 Gremio (RS)

BRA CGD1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 18 matches

YesNo

14 (78%)4 (22%)

In last 18 matches

NoYes

13 (68%)6 (32%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(72%)13 5(28%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(17%)3 15(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

/Yes

(56%)10 8(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

9.29 avg / game

Blocked

48 total

Avg. 3.00

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

8.68 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.71

Sao Paulo Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

5619

Avg. 331 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

5761

Avg. 303 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

Played games

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.26

5.33

Corners

2.89

13.17

237

Throw-ins

228

12.00

1.06

Offsides

1.42

2.33

GK saves

2.42

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

1.74

0.06

0.11

11.39

205

Fouls

199

10.47

7.61

137

Tackles

148

7.79

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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