Napoli vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Napoli

L D W D D

30th place in Group A

2-3

28/01/2026 20:00

Chelsea

W W W L W

6th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Napoli are currently 30th with 8 points after 8 matches.
Chelsea sit 6th with 16 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Napoli and Chelsea have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2026-01-28

Napoli vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Napoli

Chelsea

2026-01-28 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

14/03/2012 19:45

Chelsea

3 - 1

Napoli

UEFA CL

21/02/2012 19:45

Napoli

3 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

Napoli

50%

Draw

Chelsea

50%

Napoli Last 6 matches

25/01/2026 17:00

Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli ITA D1

20/01/2026 20:00

FC Copenhagen 1 - 1 Napoli UEFA CL

17/01/2026 17:00

Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo ITA D1

14/01/2026 17:30

Napoli 0 - 0 Parma ITA D1

11/01/2026 19:45

Inter Milan 2 - 2 Napoli ITA D1

07/01/2026 17:30

Napoli 2 - 2 Verona ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

25/01/2026 14:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

21/01/2026 20:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 AEP Paphos UEFA CL

17/01/2026 15:00

Chelsea 2 - 0 Brentford ENG PR

14/01/2026 20:00

Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal ENG LC

10/01/2026 20:00

Charlton Athletic 1 - 5 Chelsea ENG FAC

07/01/2026 19:30

Fulham 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Goals

Scored

548

Avg. per game

1.83

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored

543

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

362

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

249 (83%)51 (17%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

243 (81%)57 (19%)

Napoli

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Napoli

Chelsea

Shots

Napoli

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

1014 total

Avg. 4.17

Chelsea

Total shots

14.78 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.17

Napoli Pass Chelsea

Total passes

140567

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

157357

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Napoli

300

Played games

Chelsea

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

0.31

5.63

1688

Corners

1731

5.77

16.31

4893

Throw-ins

4571

15.24

1.56

467

Offsides

530

1.77

2.14

642

GK saves

810

2.70

Napoli

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

450

628

2.09

0.06

0.07

10.12

3037

Fouls

3307

11.02

11.49

3447

Tackles

4091

13.64

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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