Napoli vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Napoli vs Chelsea: Starting Lineups Time : 28/01/2026 16:00

Napoli
2 - 3
Finished
Chelsea
82' event Sam Beukema / Leonardo Spinazzola
82' event Romelu Lukaku / Elif Elmas
75' event Elif Elmas
67' event Miguel Ortega Gutierrez / Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
43' event Rasmus Hojlund
33' event Antonio Vergara
17' event Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
event 90' Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
event 88' Wesley Fofana
event 82' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 74' Alejandro Garnacho / Estevao Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonc
event 61' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 59' Trevoh Thomas Chalobah / Malo Gusto
event 59' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens / Andrey Santos
event 46' Cole Jermaine Palmer / Pedro Neto
event 19' Enzo Fernandez
82' event Sam Beukema / Leonardo Spinazzola
event 90' Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
82' event Romelu Lukaku / Elif Elmas
event 88' Wesley Fofana
75' event Elif Elmas
event 82' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
67' event Miguel Ortega Gutierrez / Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
event 74' Alejandro Garnacho / Estevao Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonc
43' event Rasmus Hojlund
event 61' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
33' event Antonio Vergara
event 59' Trevoh Thomas Chalobah / Malo Gusto
17' event Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
event 59' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens / Andrey Santos
event 46' Cole Jermaine Palmer / Pedro Neto
event 19' Enzo Fernandez
Napoli Napoli
Substitutions
#9 Romelu Lukaku
#31 Sam Beukema
#3 Miguel Ortega Gutierrez
#14 Nikita Contini
#61 David Spinelli
#52 Emmanuele De Chiara
#56 Christian Garofalo
Napoli Napoli Chelsea Chelsea
8Shots11
5Shots on Goal5
15Fouls15
4Corner Kick1
8Free kick6
1Offside1
2Yellow card1
14Aerial10
2Save2
6Successful Tackles2
8Interceptions16
7Long pass11
2Assist2
4Successful center2
3Substitution5
2Shots off goal3
7Head Success5
1Blocked3
1Tackle2
6Dribbles3
8Throw-in1
220Passes276
69Attacks94
43Dangerous attacks21
3Corner Kicks(HT)1
1BigChances3
0BigChancesMissed2
5ShotsInsideBox5
1ShotsOutsideBox1
22DuelsWon20
0.98ExpectedGoals2.01
0.83xGOpenPlay1.13
0.98xGNonPenalty1.22
1.84xGOT2.57
22Touches In Opposition Box12
15AccurateCrosses4
37GroundDuelsWon28
7AerialDuelsWon5
4Clearances19
Chelsea Chelsea
Substitutions
#49 Alejandro Garnacho
#5 Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi
#23 Trevoh Thomas Chalobah
#10 Cole Jermaine Palmer
#11 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
#12 Filip Jorgensen
#21 Jorrel Hato
#50 Max Merrick
#34 Josh Acheampong
#32 Tyrique George
#9 Liam Delap
#38 Marc Guiu
Commentary
90' Chelsea — substitution: Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
88' Wesley Fofana - Chelsea receive a yellow card
82' Napoli — substitution: Sam Beukema / Leonardo Spinazzola
82' Napoli — substitution: Romelu Lukaku / Elif Elmas
82' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea
75' Elif Elmas - Napoli receive a yellow card
74' Chelsea — substitution: Alejandro Garnacho / Estevao Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonc
67' Napoli — substitution: Miguel Ortega Gutierrez / Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
61' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea
59' Chelsea — substitution: Trevoh Thomas Chalobah / Malo Gusto
59' Chelsea — substitution: Jamie Bynoe-Gittens / Andrey Santos
46' Chelsea — substitution: Cole Jermaine Palmer / Pedro Neto
43' Goal! Rasmus Hojlund - Napoli
33' Goal! Antonio Vergara - Napoli
19' Penalty scored! Enzo Fernandez - Chelsea
17' Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus - Napoli receive a yellow card

How We Build the Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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