Napoli vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Napoli

L D W D D

30th place in Group A

2-3

28/01/2026 16:00

Chelsea

W W W L W

6th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Napoli will face Chelsea in UEFA Champions League on January 28, 2026 at 16:00.
Napoli are currently 30th with 8 points after 8 matches.
Chelsea sit 6th with 16 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.33.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-01-28

Napoli vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Napoli

Chelsea

2026-01-28 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

14/03/2012 15:45

Chelsea

3 - 1

Napoli

UEFA CL

21/02/2012 15:45

Napoli

3 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

Chelsea

100%

Draw

Napoli

Napoli Last 6 matches

25/01/2026 13:00

Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli

ITA D1

20/01/2026 16:00

FC Copenhagen 1 - 1 Napoli

UEFA CL

17/01/2026 13:00

Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo

ITA D1

14/01/2026 13:30

Napoli 0 - 0 Parma

ITA D1

11/01/2026 15:45

Inter Milan 2 - 2 Napoli

ITA D1

07/01/2026 13:30

Napoli 2 - 2 Verona

ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

25/01/2026 10:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea

ENG PR

21/01/2026 16:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 AEP Paphos

UEFA CL

17/01/2026 11:00

Chelsea 2 - 0 Brentford

ENG PR

14/01/2026 16:00

Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal

ENG LC

10/01/2026 16:00

Charlton Athletic 1 - 5 Chelsea

ENG FAC

07/01/2026 15:30

Fulham 2 - 1 Chelsea

ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Napoli

Chelsea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.88

Scored

Avg. per game

1.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.80

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 8 matches

YesNo

5 (63%)3 (38%)

In last 8 matches

NoYes

9 (90%)1 (10%)

Napoli

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(88%)7 1(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)8 2(20%)

Under /Over

(25%)2 6(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(60%)6 4(40%)

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)4 6(60%)

/Yes

(50%)4 4(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)6 4(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Napoli

Chelsea

Shots

Napoli

Total shots

11.75 avg / game

Blocked

27 total

Avg. 3.38

Chelsea

Total shots

13.90 avg / game

Blocked

37 total

Avg. 3.70

Napoli Pass Chelsea

Total passes

3797

Avg. 475 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

4971

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Napoli

Played games

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.30

6.13

Corners

6.10

12.63

101

Throw-ins

147

14.70

1.13

Offsides

2.00

3.38

GK saves

2.00

Napoli

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

1.50

0.25

0.10

13.75

110

Fouls

122

12.20

6.50

Tackles

8.60

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Chelsea on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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