AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-0

21/02/2026 13:00

NEC Nijmegen

W D D D L

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 5th with 56 points after 34 matches.
NEC Nijmegen sit 3rd with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. NEC Nijmegen have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred HT

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2026-02-21

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

2026-02-21 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

20/12/2025 12:00

NEC Nijmegen

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

11/05/2025 07:45

AFC Ajax

0 - 3

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

01/12/2024 08:45

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

18/02/2024 06:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

03/12/2023 06:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

05/03/2023 08:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

50%

Draw

33%

NEC Nijmegen

17%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

08/02/2026 06:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

01/02/2026 04:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

28/01/2026 13:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA CL

24/01/2026 08:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

20/01/2026 13:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 AFC Ajax UEFA CL

17/01/2026 08:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches NEC Nijmegen

11/02/2026 13:00

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 3 FC Utrecht HOL D1

07/02/2026 08:30

NEC Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

04/02/2026 10:45

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 0 Volendam HOLC

31/01/2026 08:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

24/01/2026 10:45

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

20/01/2026 10:45

De Treffers 1 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOLC

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Played games

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.14

Scored

Avg. per game

2.26

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

32 (89%)4 (11%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

33 (97%)1 (3%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

Under /Over

(92%)33 3(8%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(97%)33 1(3%)

Under /Over

(53%)19 17(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)19 15(44%)

Under /Over

(44%)16 20(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

/Yes

(64%)23 13(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)28 6(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

14.86 avg / game

Blocked

124 total

Avg. 4.00

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

17.03 avg / game

Blocked

165 total

Avg. 4.85

AFC Ajax Pass NEC Nijmegen

Total passes

19045

Avg. 529 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

14599

Avg. 429 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.15

4.89

176

Corners

208

6.12

16.58

597

Throw-ins

707

20.79

1.31

Offsides

2.00

3.19

115

GK saves

116

3.41

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

1.79

0.06

0.09

9.97

359

Fouls

405

11.91

10.53

379

Tackles

343

10.09

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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