AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-1

21/02/2026 16:00

NEC Nijmegen

W D D D L

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 5th with 56 points after 34 matches.
NEC Nijmegen sit 3rd with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. NEC Nijmegen have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-21

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

2026-02-21 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

20/12/2025 15:00

NEC Nijmegen

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

11/05/2025 10:45

AFC Ajax

0 - 3

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

01/12/2024 11:45

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

18/02/2024 09:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

03/12/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

05/03/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

50%

Draw

33%

NEC Nijmegen

17%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

08/02/2026 09:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

28/01/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA CL

24/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

20/01/2026 16:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 AFC Ajax UEFA CL

17/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches NEC Nijmegen

11/02/2026 16:00

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 3 FC Utrecht HOL D1

07/02/2026 11:30

NEC Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

04/02/2026 13:45

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 0 Volendam HOLC

31/01/2026 11:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

24/01/2026 13:45

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

20/01/2026 13:45

De Treffers 1 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOLC

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Played games

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored

Avg. per game

2.41

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

17 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

17 (100%)0 (0%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)17 0(0%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(76%)13 4(24%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 4.28

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

18.29 avg / game

Blocked

86 total

Avg. 5.06

AFC Ajax Pass NEC Nijmegen

Total passes

10396

Avg. 547 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

7344

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.24

5.37

102

Corners

115

6.76

16.11

306

Throw-ins

348

20.47

1.53

Offsides

1.65

3.05

GK saves

3.35

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.53

1.59

0.00

0.06

10.16

193

Fouls

178

10.47

10.84

206

Tackles

210

12.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Holland Eredivisie Predictions

Find every upcoming Holland Eredivisie fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less