AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Starting Lineups Time : 21/02/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax
1 - 1
Finished
NEC Nijmegen
84' event Steven Berghuis / Rayane Bounida
77' event Oscar Gloukh / Youri Regeer
65' event Takehiro Tomiyasu / Owen Wijndal
64' event Jorthy Mokio / Kian Fitz-Jim
64' event Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
39' event Mika Godts
23' event Rayane Bounida
event 69' Deveron Fonville / Philippe Sandler
event 64' Danilo Pereira da Silva / Bryan Linssen
event 64' Youssef El Kachati / Basar Onal
event 63' Noe Lebreton
event 57' Darko Nejasmic
event 26' Sami Ouaissa Goal cancelled
84' event Steven Berghuis / Rayane Bounida
event 69' Deveron Fonville / Philippe Sandler
77' event Oscar Gloukh / Youri Regeer
event 64' Danilo Pereira da Silva / Bryan Linssen
65' event Takehiro Tomiyasu / Owen Wijndal
event 64' Youssef El Kachati / Basar Onal
64' event Jorthy Mokio / Kian Fitz-Jim
event 63' Noe Lebreton
64' event Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
event 57' Darko Nejasmic
39' event Mika Godts
event 26' Sami Ouaissa Goal cancelled
23' event Rayane Bounida
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
Substitutions
#24 Jorthy Mokio
#10 Oscar Gloukh
#32 Takehiro Tomiyasu
#23 Steven Berghuis
#25 Wout Weghorst
#7 Maher Carrizo
#3 Anton Gaaei
#52 Paul Reverson
#30 Aaron Bouwman
#17 Oliver Edvardsen
#68 Abdellah Ouazane
#12 Joeri Heerkens
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
9Shots18
4Shots on Goal9
7Fouls16
6Corner Kick7
16Free kick7
2Offside5
1Yellow card1
28Aerial28
7Save3
7Successful Tackles12
11Interceptions10
29Long pass23
2Successful center5
2Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
16Head Success12
3Blocked4
7Tackle12
5Dribbles4
13Throw-in13
414Passes433
73Attacks113
25Dangerous attacks47
3Corner Kicks(HT)5
2BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed1
8ShotsInsideBox9
1ShotsOutsideBox9
49DuelsWon42
1.48ExpectedGoals1.16
1.64xGOT1.81
22Touches In Opposition Box30
11AccurateCrosses21
33GroundDuelsWon29
16AerialDuelsWon13
29Clearances16
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Substitutions
#24 Deveron Fonville
#34 Youssef El Kachati
#9 Danilo Pereira da Silva
#2 Brayann Pereira
#19 Willum Thor Willumsson
#18 Koki Ogawa
#71 Dirk Proper
#17 Bram Nuytinck
#22 Jasper Cillessen
#15 Jetro Willems
#7 Virgil Misidjan
#8 Isak Hansen-Aaroen
Commentary
84' AFC Ajax — substitution: Steven Berghuis / Rayane Bounida
77' AFC Ajax — substitution: Oscar Gloukh / Youri Regeer
69' NEC Nijmegen — substitution: Deveron Fonville / Philippe Sandler
65' AFC Ajax — substitution: Takehiro Tomiyasu / Owen Wijndal
64' AFC Ajax — substitution: Jorthy Mokio / Kian Fitz-Jim
64' AFC Ajax — substitution: Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
64' NEC Nijmegen — substitution: Danilo Pereira da Silva / Bryan Linssen
64' NEC Nijmegen — substitution: Youssef El Kachati / Basar Onal
63' Noe Lebreton - NEC Nijmegen receive a yellow card
57' Goal! Darko Nejasmic - NEC Nijmegen
39' Goal! Mika Godts - AFC Ajax
26' VAR review - NEC Nijmegen
23' Rayane Bounida - AFC Ajax receive a yellow card

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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