The New Saints vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 February

The New Saints

W W W L W

1st place in League

2-1

20/02/2026 15:45

Caernarfon

D L D L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 20 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full The New Saints vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

The New Saints are currently 1st with 53 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: The New Saints to win with probability 69%.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2026-02-20

The New Saints vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

The New Saints

Caernarfon

2026-02-20 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 20/02/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	53	22	17	2	3	59	19	40
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	14	5	3	48	25	23
03 Penybont FC	38	22	11	5	6	36	31	5
04 Caernarfon	34	22	9	7	6	44	32	12
05 Barry Town United	30	22	7	9	6	33	25	8
06 Colwyn Bay	30	22	8	6	8	29	25	4
07 UWIC Inter Cardiff	28	22	6	10	6	33	36	-3
08 Briton Ferry Athletic	25	22	6	7	9	32	40	-8
09 Haverfordwest County	24	22	6	6	10	30	39	-9
10 Bala Town F.C.	23	22	6	5	11	19	30	-11
11 Flint Town	21	22	5	6	11	34	48	-14
12 Llanelli	8	22	2	2	18	12	59	-47

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	80	10	9	0	1	22	6	16
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	58	10	2	5	3	13	13	0
03 Barry Town United	46	10	5	1	4	10	8	2
04 Colwyn Bay	45	10	4	3	3	12	12	0
05 Caernarfon	45	10	3	2	5	12	15	-3
06 Penybont FC	41	10	0	3	7	3	18	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Haverfordwest County	48	10	8	0	2	18	4	14
02 Briton Ferry Athletic	45	10	6	2	2	14	7	7
03 UWIC Inter Cardiff	38	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5
04 Flint Town	35	10	3	5	2	14	11	3
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	10	2	3	5	14	15	-1
06 Llanelli	13	10	1	2	7	5	23	-18

Head To Head

28/11/2025 15:45

The New Saints

2 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

04/11/2025 15:45

The New Saints

3 - 0

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

07/10/2025 14:45

Caernarfon

1 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

11/03/2025 15:45

The New Saints

2 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

26/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon

2 - 5

The New Saints

Welsh PR

The New Saints

100%

Draw

Caernarfon

The New Saints Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 15:45

Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 The New Saints Welsh PR

07/02/2026 08:30

The New Saints 6 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

24/01/2026 10:30

The New Saints 1 - 0 Barry Town United Welsh PR

13/01/2026 15:45

The New Saints 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

06/01/2026 15:45

The New Saints 2 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

31/12/2025 10:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

14/02/2026 10:30

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Barry Town United Welsh PR

06/02/2026 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

31/01/2026 13:15

Caernarfon 4 - 1 Colwyn Bay WALC

24/01/2026 10:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 0 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

13/01/2026 15:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

31/12/2025 08:30

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.34

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

21 (66%)11 (34%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

14 (44%)18 (56%)

The New Saints

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)29 3(9%)

Under /Over

(50%)16 16(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

Under /Over

(59%)19 13(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(66%)21 11(34%)

/Yes

(41%)13 19(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)20 12(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Shots

The New Saints

Total shots

15.35 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

11.28 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

The New Saints Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

The New Saints

Played games

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.22

7.03

225

Corners

152

4.75

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.38

GK saves

0.47

The New Saints

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

1.72

0.03

0.03

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 20 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess The New Saints's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where The New Saints and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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