Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 13 January

Caernarfon

D L D L W

4th place in League

2-2

13/01/2026 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

W W W W W

2nd place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC on 13 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
Connahs Quay Nomads FC sit 2nd with 47 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Connahs Quay Nomads FC to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Caernarfon, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Connahs Quay Nomads FC have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2026-01-13

Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

2026-01-13 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 13/01/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	53	22	17	2	3	59	19	40
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	14	5	3	48	25	23
03 Penybont FC	38	22	11	5	6	36	31	5
04 Caernarfon	34	22	9	7	6	44	32	12
05 Barry Town United	30	22	7	9	6	33	25	8
06 Colwyn Bay	30	22	8	6	8	29	25	4
07 UWIC Inter Cardiff	28	22	6	10	6	33	36	-3
08 Briton Ferry Athletic	25	22	6	7	9	32	40	-8
09 Haverfordwest County	24	22	6	6	10	30	39	-9
10 Bala Town F.C.	23	22	6	5	11	19	30	-11
11 Flint Town	21	22	5	6	11	34	48	-14
12 Llanelli	8	22	2	2	18	12	59	-47

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	80	10	9	0	1	22	6	16
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	58	10	2	5	3	13	13	0
03 Barry Town United	46	10	5	1	4	10	8	2
04 Colwyn Bay	45	10	4	3	3	12	12	0
05 Caernarfon	45	10	3	2	5	12	15	-3
06 Penybont FC	41	10	0	3	7	3	18	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Haverfordwest County	48	10	8	0	2	18	4	14
02 Briton Ferry Athletic	45	10	6	2	2	14	7	7
03 UWIC Inter Cardiff	38	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5
04 Flint Town	35	10	3	5	2	14	11	3
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	10	2	3	5	14	15	-1
06 Llanelli	13	10	1	2	7	5	23	-18

Head To Head

23/09/2025 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

03/12/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

28/09/2024 12:15

Caernarfon

3 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

22/06/2024 10:00

Caernarfon

3 - 2

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

INT CF

15/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

67%

Draw

17%

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

17%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

31/12/2025 08:30

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

27/12/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

13/12/2025 13:25

UWIC Inter Cardiff 2 - 4 Caernarfon WALC

05/12/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Flint Town Welsh PR

28/11/2025 15:45

The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

22/11/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 4 - 0 Penrhyncoch WALC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Connahs Quay Nomads FC

03/01/2026 10:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 1 Barry Town United Welsh PR

31/12/2025 10:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

26/12/2025 10:30

Flint Town 0 - 2 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

21/12/2025 08:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 4 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic Welsh PR

05/12/2025 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

29/11/2025 11:35

Llanelli 1 - 2 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.75

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored

Avg. per game

1.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

26 (81%)6 (19%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

28 (88%)4 (13%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Under /Over

(91%)29 3(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

Under /Over

(66%)21 11(34%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

/Yes

(63%)20 12(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

11.28 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total shots

10.81 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Caernarfon

2844

Avg. 88.88 / game

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

2306

Avg. 72.06 / game

OTHERS

Caernarfon

Played games

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.25

4.75

152

Corners

155

4.84

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.47

GK saves

0.50

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.72

2.09

0.03

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/14

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/28

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Cambrian Clydach

WEL

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC on 13 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Connahs Quay Nomads FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Connahs Quay Nomads FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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