Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 March

Tepatitlan de Morelos

L L W L W

8th place in Autumn

4-1

22/03/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz

L L W D D

14th place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz on 22 March 2025 (kick-off: 03:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Atletico La Paz sit 14th with 10 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tepatitlan de Morelos to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history favors Tepatitlan de Morelos, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Atletico La Paz have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

03:00

2025-03-22

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Atletico La Paz

2025-03-22 03:00

STANDINGS UP TO 22/03/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

05/10/2024 03:00

Atletico La Paz

2 - 5

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

24/01/2024 03:05

Atletico La Paz

2 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

06/10/2023 03:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

4 - 0

Atletico La Paz

MEX D2

15/01/2023 18:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

3 - 0

Atletico La Paz

MEX D2

07/09/2022 02:05

Atletico La Paz

1 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

60%

Draw

20%

Atletico La Paz

20%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

16/03/2025 03:05

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

07/03/2025 01:00

Correcaminos UAT 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

01/03/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

23/02/2025 01:00

Celaya FC 3 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

15/02/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

08/02/2025 23:00

CF Atlante 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Atletico La Paz

15/03/2025 23:00

Monarcas Morelia 4 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

08/03/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz 0 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX D2

01/03/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz 4 - 1 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

23/02/2025 03:05

Tampico Madero 2 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

13/02/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 3 Celaya FC MEX D2

08/02/2025 03:00

Venados FC 2 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Atletico La Paz

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

18 (56%)14 (44%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

12 (43%)16 (57%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Atletico La Paz

Under /Over

(84%)27 5(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)25 3(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(54%)15 13(46%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)16 12(43%)

/Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)17 11(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Atletico La Paz

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico La Paz

Total shots

7.57 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Atletico La Paz

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Played games

Atletico La Paz

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.07

5.16

165

Corners

134

4.79

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico La Paz

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

2.54

0.22

0.07

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Correcaminos UAT

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/08

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/21

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Atletico La Paz

CD Alacranes de Durango

MEX

08/08

Tepatitlan de Morelos

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz on 22 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico La Paz Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico La Paz's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Atletico La Paz sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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