Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Tepatitlan de Morelos

L L W L W

8th place in Autumn

1-1

28/02/2025 21:00

Leones Negros

W W L L W

1st place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 28 February 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos will face Leones Negros in Mexico Primera Divison A on February 28, 2025 at 21:00.
Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 1st with 29 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.34.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-02-28

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

2025-02-28 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

15/09/2024 19:00

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

10/04/2024 23:05

Leones Negros

3 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

12/08/2023 23:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

15/07/2023 13:00

Leones Negros

3 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

INT CF

27/04/2023 23:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

19/02/2023 14:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

Leones Negros

50%

Draw

33%

Tepatitlan de Morelos

17%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

22/02/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 3 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

14/02/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio

MEX D2

08/02/2025 19:00

CF Atlante 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

31/01/2025 23:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 - 1 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

25/01/2025 20:00

Tlaxcala FC 2 - 2 Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

17/01/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Cancun FC

MEX D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

23/02/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 0 Cancun FC

MEX D2

13/02/2025 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 3 Leones Negros

MEX D2

02/02/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 5 - 1 Tlaxcala FC

MEX D2

25/01/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX D2

19/01/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 4 - 0 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

MEX D2

12/01/2025 14:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 2 - 3 Leones Negros

MEX D2

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

26 (81%)6 (19%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

36 (90%)4 (10%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(84%)27 5(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

/Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)26 14(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.28

5.16

165

Corners

209

5.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

2.25

0.22

0.18

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

07/24

Tepatitlan de Morelos

CD Alacranes de Durango

MEX

07/31

Correcaminos UAT

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

Leones Negros

MEX

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 28 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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