Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Tepatitlan de Morelos

L L W L W

8th place in Autumn

4-0

11/04/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

L L L D L

15th place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca on 11 April 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 15th with 5 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tepatitlan de Morelos to win with probability 73%.
Head-to-head history favors Tepatitlan de Morelos, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-04-11

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

2025-04-11 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

27/10/2024 18:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

0 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

26/03/2024 23:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

25/10/2023 21:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

3 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

08/02/2023 23:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

0 - 3

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

01/09/2022 20:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

01/02/2022 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 2

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

50%

Draw

17%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

33%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

29/03/2025 23:00

Tampico Madero 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

21/03/2025 23:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 4 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

15/03/2025 23:05

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

06/03/2025 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

28/02/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

22/02/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 3 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca

04/04/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

29/03/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 3 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

21/03/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 3 Tlaxcala FC MEX D2

16/03/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 3 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

08/03/2025 23:00

Tampico Madero 3 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

28/02/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 1 Correcaminos UAT MEX D2

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.94

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 16 home matches

YesNo

15 (94%)1 (6%)

In last 16 home matches

NoYes

10 (71%)4 (29%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Under /Over

(88%)14 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)11 3(21%)

Under /Over

(44%)7 9(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)6 8(57%)

Under /Over

(31%)5 11(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)7 7(50%)

/Yes

(75%)12 4(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)8 6(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

8.56 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Total shots

9.64 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Played games

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.14

5.31

Corners

4.86

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

2.29

0.19

0.07

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

09/03

Tepatitlan de Morelos

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

Tepatitlan de Morelos

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca on 11 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alebrijes de Oaxaca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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