St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

St. Pauli

L D L L L

18th place in German Bundesliga

1-2

03/05/2026 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli will face FSV Mainz 05 in German Bundesliga on May 3, 2026 at 09:30.
St. Pauli are currently 18th with 26 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.42.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2026-05-03

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05

2026-05-03 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

21/12/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

22/02/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

05/10/2024 12:30

St. Pauli

0 - 3

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

14/05/2011 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D1

18/12/2010 13:30

St. Pauli

2 - 4

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

15/07/2009 11:00

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 1

St. Pauli

INT CF

FSV Mainz 05

33%

Draw

33%

St. Pauli

33%

St. Pauli Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 09:30

Heidenheimer 2 - 0 St. Pauli

GER D1

17/04/2026 14:30

St. Pauli 1 - 1 FC Koln

GER D1

11/04/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 0 - 5 Bayern Munchen

GER D1

05/04/2026 09:30

Union Berlin 1 - 1 St. Pauli

GER D1

22/03/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 1 - 2 SC Freiburg

GER D1

13/03/2026 15:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 2 - 0 St. Pauli

GER D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

25/04/2026 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern Munchen

GER D1

19/04/2026 13:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

16/04/2026 15:00

Strasbourg 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05

UEFA ECL

12/04/2026 13:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 SC Freiburg

GER D1

09/04/2026 15:00

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Strasbourg

UEFA ECL

04/04/2026 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.75

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 16 home matches

YesNo

10 (63%)6 (38%)

In last 16 home matches

NoYes

11 (65%)6 (35%)

St. Pauli

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(81%)13 3(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

St. Pauli

Total shots

10.56 avg / game

Blocked

43 total

Avg. 2.69

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

13.59 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

St. Pauli Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

6919

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

6354

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

St. Pauli

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.13

Clean sheets

0.12

5.75

Corners

105

6.18

21.25

340

Throw-ins

376

22.12

2.19

Offsides

2.41

3.25

GK saves

2.82

St. Pauli

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

1.71

0.06

0.18

9.75

156

Fouls

202

11.88

10.31

165

Tackles

142

8.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

GER

How We Build the St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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