St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 03/05/2026 09:30

St. Pauli
1 - 2
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
90+3' event Abdoulie Ceesay
90+1' event Conor Metcalfe
88' event Karol Mets
87' event Abdoulie Ceesay
84' event Matias Rasmussen / Jackson Irvine
65' event Martijn Kaars / Andreas Hountondji
65' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Eric Smith
46' event Conor Metcalfe / Daniel Sinani
46' event Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
event 84' Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
event 84' Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
event 77' Anthony Caci / Silvan Widmer
event 76' Dominik Kohr / Kacper Potulski
event 72' Armindo Sieb / Sheraldo Becker
event 68' Daniel Batz
event 40' Phillipp Mwene
event 6' Phillip Tietz
90+3' event Abdoulie Ceesay
event 84' Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
90+1' event Conor Metcalfe
event 84' Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
88' event Karol Mets
event 77' Anthony Caci / Silvan Widmer
87' event Abdoulie Ceesay
event 76' Dominik Kohr / Kacper Potulski
84' event Matias Rasmussen / Jackson Irvine
event 72' Armindo Sieb / Sheraldo Becker
65' event Martijn Kaars / Andreas Hountondji
event 68' Daniel Batz
65' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Eric Smith
event 40' Phillipp Mwene
46' event Conor Metcalfe / Daniel Sinani
event 6' Phillip Tietz
46' event Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#24 Conor Metcalfe
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#19 Martijn Kaars
#20 Matias Rasmussen
#25 Adam Dzwigala
#4 David Nemeth
#23 Louis Oppie
#18 Taichi Hara
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
St. Pauli St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
10Shots17
3Shots on Goal6
10Fouls8
7Corner Kick7
8Free kick10
1Offside4
3Yellow card1
36Aerial46
3Save1
15Successful Tackles9
6Interceptions9
29Long pass22
1Assist2
6Successful center4
5Substitution5
5Shots off goal4
0Hit The Post1
18Head Success23
2Blocked7
12Tackle9
6Dribbles6
24Throw-in23
493Passes465
115Attacks96
54Dangerous attacks47
3Corner Kicks(HT)5
3BigChances5
2BigChancesMissed3
7ShotsInsideBox15
3ShotsOutsideBox2
46DuelsWon53
0.86ExpectedGoals2.35
0.43xGOpenPlay1.85
0.86xGNonPenalty2.35
0.35xGOT1.71
18Touches In Opposition Box36
23AccurateCrosses11
28GroundDuelsWon31
18AerialDuelsWon22
29Clearances30
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#19 Anthony Caci
#31 Dominik Kohr
#11 Armindo Sieb
#44 Nelson Weiper
#15 Lennard Maloney
#22 Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
#16 Stefan Bell
#27 Robin Zentner
#24 Sota Kawasaki
Commentary
90+3' Abdoulie Ceesay - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
90+1' Conor Metcalfe - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
88' Karol Mets - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
87' Goal! Abdoulie Ceesay - St. Pauli
84' St. Pauli — substitution: Matias Rasmussen / Jackson Irvine
84' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
84' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
77' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Anthony Caci / Silvan Widmer
76' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Dominik Kohr / Kacper Potulski
72' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Armindo Sieb / Sheraldo Becker
68' Daniel Batz - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
65' St. Pauli — substitution: Martijn Kaars / Andreas Hountondji
65' St. Pauli — substitution: Abdoulie Ceesay / Eric Smith
46' St. Pauli — substitution: Conor Metcalfe / Daniel Sinani
46' St. Pauli — substitution: Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
40' Goal! Phillipp Mwene - FSV Mainz 05
6' Goal! Phillip Tietz - FSV Mainz 05

How We Build the St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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