St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

St. Pauli

L D L L L

18th place in German Bundesliga

1-2

03/05/2026 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli are currently 18th with 26 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors FSV Mainz 05, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2026-05-03

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05

2026-05-03 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

21/12/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

22/02/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

05/10/2024 12:30

St. Pauli

0 - 3

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

14/05/2011 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D1

18/12/2010 13:30

St. Pauli

2 - 4

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

15/07/2009 11:00

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 1

St. Pauli

INT CF

St. Pauli

Draw

33%

FSV Mainz 05

67%

St. Pauli Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 09:30

Heidenheimer 2 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

17/04/2026 14:30

St. Pauli 1 - 1 FC Koln GER D1

11/04/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 0 - 5 Bayern Munchen GER D1

05/04/2026 09:30

Union Berlin 1 - 1 St. Pauli GER D1

22/03/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 1 - 2 SC Freiburg GER D1

13/03/2026 15:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 2 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

25/04/2026 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern Munchen GER D1

19/04/2026 13:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

16/04/2026 15:00

Strasbourg 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL

12/04/2026 13:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 SC Freiburg GER D1

09/04/2026 15:00

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Strasbourg UEFA ECL

04/04/2026 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

422

Avg. per game

1.59

Conceded

357

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored

415

Avg. per game

1.57

Conceded

370

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

197 (74%)68 (26%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

201 (76%)64 (24%)

St. Pauli

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

St. Pauli

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

763 total

Avg. 3.78

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

St. Pauli Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

101247

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

St. Pauli

265

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

265

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.25

4.69

1242

Corners

1265

4.77

17.25

4572

Throw-ins

4887

18.44

1.52

404

Offsides

475

1.79

2.34

619

GK saves

711

2.68

St. Pauli

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

418

488

1.84

0.07

0.08

8.78

2328

Fouls

3092

11.67

11.12

2947

Tackles

3422

12.91

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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