Sao Paulo vs Flamengo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Sao Paulo

L L D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

2-1

28/01/2026 20:30

Flamengo

D L W W D

2nd place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Flamengo preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo are currently 12th with 26 points after 20 matches.
Flamengo sit 2nd with 39 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Flamengo to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Sao Paulo and Flamengo have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-01-28

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Flamengo

2026-01-28 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

05/11/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo

2 - 2

Flamengo

BRA D1

12/07/2025 15:30

Flamengo

2 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

19/01/2025 16:00

Sao Paulo

0 - 0

Flamengo

INT CF

03/08/2024 20:30

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Flamengo

BRA D1

17/04/2024 20:30

Flamengo

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

06/12/2023 20:30

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Flamengo

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

33%

Draw

33%

Flamengo

33%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

24/01/2026 17:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

21/01/2026 18:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 3 Portuguesa Desportos BRA SP

18/01/2026 15:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

15/01/2026 20:45

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Sao Bernardo BRA SP

11/01/2026 19:30

Mirassol 3 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA SP

07/12/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Flamengo

25/01/2026 17:40

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Flamengo BRA RJ

21/01/2026 20:30

Flamengo 1 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA RJ

17/01/2026 20:30

Volta Redonda 3 - 0 Flamengo BRA RJ

14/01/2026 20:30

Bangu 2 - 1 Flamengo BRA RJ

11/01/2026 17:00

Flamengo 1 - 1 Portuguesa RJ BRA RJ

17/12/2025 13:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Flamengo FIFA IC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Sao Paulo

Flamengo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.40

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.35

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 20 matches

YesNo

7 (35%)13 (65%)

In last 20 matches

NoYes

11 (55%)9 (45%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Flamengo

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)19 1(5%)

Under /Over

(15%)3 17(85%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

/Yes

(60%)12 8(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)10 10(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Flamengo

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

9.47 avg / game

Blocked

57 total

Avg. 3.17

Flamengo

Total shots

12.05 avg / game

Blocked

67 total

Avg. 3.35

Sao Paulo Pass Flamengo

Total passes

6687

Avg. 352 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

9024

Avg. 451 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

Played games

Flamengo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.20

Clean sheets

0.40

5.25

105

Corners

3.55

14.35

287

Throw-ins

289

14.45

1.05

Offsides

0.70

2.40

GK saves

2.40

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Flamengo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

1.85

0.05

0.20

11.50

230

Fouls

208

10.40

8.15

163

Tackles

144

7.20

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Flamengo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Flamengo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Brazil Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less