Sao Paulo vs Flamengo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo on 28 January 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Flamengo preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo: Starting Lineups Time : 28/01/2026 20:30

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Finished
Flamengo
90+1' event Gonzalo Tapia / Jonathan Calleri
86' event Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho / Luciano da Rocha Neves
86' event Pablo Maia / Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
80' event Cedric Ricardo Alves Soares / Maik Viegas
71' event Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
61' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 90+9' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
event 63' Samuel Dias Lino / Everton Sousa Soares
event 63' Bruno Henrique Pinto / Jorge Carrascal
event 56' Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti / Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos
event 56' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho / Evertton Araujo
event 54' Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez
90+1' event Gonzalo Tapia / Jonathan Calleri
event 90+9' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
86' event Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho / Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 63' Samuel Dias Lino / Everton Sousa Soares
86' event Pablo Maia / Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
event 63' Bruno Henrique Pinto / Jorge Carrascal
80' event Cedric Ricardo Alves Soares / Maik Viegas
event 56' Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti / Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos
71' event Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
event 56' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho / Evertton Araujo
61' event Luciano da Rocha Neves
event 54' Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Substitutions
#21 Cedric Ricardo Alves Soares
#7 Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho
#29 Pablo Maia
#14 Gonzalo Tapia
#31 Carlos Miguel
#18 Wendell
#32 Nahuel Ferraresi
#4 Matheus Doria Macedo
#2 Rafael Toloi
#11 Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira
#45 Lucca Marques
#46 Pedro Ferreira
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo Flamengo Flamengo
10Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
14Fouls11
2Corner Kick6
11Free kick14
1Offside0
0Red card1
1Aerial0
4Save2
23Successful Tackles17
7Interceptions4
20Long pass16
2Successful center4
3Shots off goal5
3Blocked5
23Tackle16
4Dribbles7
8Throw-in23
379Passes542
62Attacks144
25Dangerous attacks59
1Corner Kicks(HT)5
2BigChances3
0BigChancesMissed2
5ShotsInsideBox9
5ShotsOutsideBox6
51DuelsWon49
0.72ExpectedGoals2.18
0.71xGOpenPlay2.1
0.72xGNonPenalty2.18
1.75xGOT1.35
15Touches In Opposition Box28
11AccurateCrosses20
41GroundDuelsWon39
10AerialDuelsWon10
28Clearances7
Flamengo Flamengo
Substitutions
#10 Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti
#21 Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
#16 Samuel Dias Lino
#27 Bruno Henrique Pinto
#42 Andrew Da Silva Ventura
#44 Vitor Eduardo da Silva Matos,Vitao
#6 Ayrton Ayrton Dantas de Medeiros
#22 Emerson Aparecido Leite De Souza Junior
#51 Daniel Sales
#47 Guilherme
#56 Pablo Lucio
#81 Douglas Telles
Commentary
90+9' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho - Flamengo receive a red card
90+1' Sao Paulo — substitution: Gonzalo Tapia / Jonathan Calleri
86' Sao Paulo — substitution: Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho / Luciano da Rocha Neves
86' Sao Paulo — substitution: Pablo Maia / Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
80' Sao Paulo — substitution: Cedric Ricardo Alves Soares / Maik Viegas
71' Goal! Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo - Sao Paulo
63' Flamengo — substitution: Samuel Dias Lino / Everton Sousa Soares
63' Flamengo — substitution: Bruno Henrique Pinto / Jorge Carrascal
61' Goal! Luciano da Rocha Neves - Sao Paulo
56' Flamengo — substitution: Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti / Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos
56' Flamengo — substitution: Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho / Evertton Araujo
54' Goal! Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez - Flamengo

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Flamengo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Flamengo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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