Sao Paulo vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Sao Paulo

D L L D L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

2-2

03/05/2026 15:00

Bahia

L D L W W

6th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo will face Bahia in Brazil Serie A on May 3, 2026 at 15:00.
Sao Paulo are currently 12th with 25 points after 19 matches.
Bahia sit 6th with 30 points from 19 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.01.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-03

Sao Paulo vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Bahia

2026-05-03 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	44	19	13	5	1	33	14	19
02 Flamengo	37	18	11	4	3	35	16	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	33	19	10	3	6	26	19	7
04 Fluminense RJ	32	19	9	5	5	29	24	5
05 Bragantino	30	19	9	3	7	26	20	6
06 Bahia	30	19	8	6	5	28	24	4
07 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	27	19	7	6	6	21	19	2
08 Cruzeiro	27	19	7	6	6	26	29	-3
09 Botafogo RJ	26	19	7	5	7	33	32	1
10 Coritiba PR	26	19	7	5	7	25	27	-2
11 Vitoria BA	26	19	7	5	7	22	25	-3
12 Sao Paulo	25	19	7	4	8	24	22	2
13 Atletico Mineiro	25	19	7	4	8	23	24	-1
14 Internacional RS	21	19	5	6	8	22	24	-2
15 Santos	21	19	5	6	8	27	31	-4
16 Gremio (RS)	21	19	5	6	8	21	25	-4
17 Vasco da Gama	20	19	5	5	9	22	30	-8
18 Mirassol	19	18	5	4	9	20	25	-5
19 Remo Belem (PA)	18	19	4	6	9	21	32	-11
20 Chapecoense SC	9	19	1	6	12	17	39	-22

Head To Head

25/10/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

31/05/2025 17:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

05/11/2024 20:30

Bahia

0 - 3

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

30/06/2024 15:00

Sao Paulo

3 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

29/11/2023 19:00

Bahia

0 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

30/07/2023 10:00

Sao Paulo

0 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

50%

Draw

17%

Bahia

33%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 20:00

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol

BRA D1

21/04/2026 18:15

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Juventude

Copa do Brasil

18/04/2026 17:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Sao Paulo

BRA D1

14/04/2026 18:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 O.Higgins

CON CSA

11/04/2026 15:30

Vitoria BA 2 - 0 Sao Paulo

BRA D1

07/04/2026 20:30

Boston River 0 - 1 Sao Paulo

CON CSA

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bahia

25/04/2026 17:30

Bahia 2 - 2 Santos

BRA D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA)

Copa do Brasil

19/04/2026 18:30

Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia

BRA D1

11/04/2026 17:30

Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia

BRA D1

05/04/2026 18:30

Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras

BRA D1

01/04/2026 19:00

Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Sao Paulo

Bahia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 matches

YesNo

12 (63%)7 (37%)

In last 19 matches

NoYes

10 (53%)9 (47%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(16%)3 16(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

/Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Bahia

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

56 total

Avg. 3.29

Bahia

Total shots

13.11 avg / game

Blocked

65 total

Avg. 3.42

Sao Paulo Pass Bahia

Total passes

6249

Avg. 347 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

7221

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

Played games

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.26

5.42

103

Corners

100

5.26

13.68

260

Throw-ins

299

15.74

1.00

Offsides

1.21

2.26

GK saves

2.89

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

1.89

0.05

0.11

11.16

212

Fouls

242

12.74

7.84

149

Tackles

166

8.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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