Sao Paulo vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Sao Paulo
LLDLL
12th place in Brazil Serie A
1
2-2
FT
03/05/2026 15:00
Bahia
DLWWD
6th place in Brazil Serie A
Brazil Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

  • Sao Paulo will face Bahia in Brazil Serie A on May 3, 2026 at 15:00.
  • Sao Paulo are currently 12th with 26 points after 20 matches.
  • Bahia sit 6th with 31 points from 20 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.01.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2026-05-03

Sao Paulo vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Bahia
2026-05-03 15:00
44
28
28
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.01
FT
2-2 1-0
-
weather
25℃～26℃
STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Palmeiras Palmeiras
44 20 13 5 2 34 16 18
02 Flamengo Flamengo
38 19 11 5 3 36 17 19
03 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
36 20 11 3 6 28 19 9
04 Fluminense RJ Fluminense RJ
33 20 9 6 5 30 25 5
05 Bragantino Bragantino
31 20 9 4 7 26 20 6
06 Bahia Bahia
31 20 8 7 5 29 25 4
07 Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
29 20 8 5 7 34 32 2
08 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
28 20 8 4 8 25 25 0
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP) Corinthians Paulista (SP)
28 20 7 7 6 22 20 2
10 Coritiba PR Coritiba PR
27 20 7 6 7 25 27 -2
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
27 20 7 6 7 26 30 -4
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
26 20 7 5 8 25 23 2
13 Vitoria BA Vitoria BA
26 20 7 5 8 22 27 -5
14 Santos Santos
22 20 5 7 8 29 33 -4
15 Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
22 20 5 7 8 22 26 -4
16 Internacional RS Internacional RS
21 20 5 6 9 22 26 -4
17 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
21 20 5 6 9 23 31 -8
18 Remo Belem (PA) Remo Belem (PA)
21 20 5 6 9 23 32 -9
19 Mirassol Mirassol
20 19 5 5 9 21 26 -5
20 Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC
10 20 1 7 12 19 41 -22
Head To Head
25/10/2025 20:30
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
31/05/2025 17:30
Bahia Bahia
2 - 1
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA D1
05/11/2024 20:30
Bahia Bahia
0 - 3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA D1
30/06/2024 15:00
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
29/11/2023 19:00
Bahia Bahia
0 - 1
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA D1
30/07/2023 10:00
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
0 - 0
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
Sao Paulo
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Bahia
2
33%
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo Last 6 matches
25/04/2026 20:00
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol
BRA D1
21/04/2026 18:15
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Juventude
Copa do Brasil
18/04/2026 17:30
Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
BRA D1
14/04/2026 18:00
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 O.Higgins
CON CSA
11/04/2026 15:30
Vitoria BA 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
BRA D1
07/04/2026 20:30
Boston River 0 - 1 Sao Paulo
CON CSA
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Bahia Bahia
25/04/2026 17:30
Bahia 2 - 2 Santos
BRA D1
22/04/2026 18:00
Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA)
Copa do Brasil
19/04/2026 18:30
Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia
BRA D1
11/04/2026 17:30
Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia
BRA D1
05/04/2026 18:30
Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras
BRA D1
01/04/2026 19:00
Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico Paranaense
BRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
20
 Bahia
Bahia
20
Goals
Scored
8
Avg. per game
0.40
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
0.40
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.75
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.70
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 20 matches
YesNo
7 (35%)13 (65%)
In last 20 matches
NoYes
11 (55%)9 (45%)
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Bahia

Bahia

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(90%)18 2(10%)

Under /Over

(15%)3 17(85%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)8 12(60%)

/Yes

(60%)12 8(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(70%)14 6(30%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Bahia Bahia
Shots
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Total shots
9.47 avg / game
Blocked
57 total
Avg. 3.17
Bahia
Bahia
Total shots
13.10 avg / game
Blocked
68 total
Avg. 3.40
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo Pass Bahia Bahia
Total passes
6687
Avg. 352 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
7693
Avg. 385 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1362
Avg. 68.10 / game
 Bahia
Bahia
1637
Avg. 81.85 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
727
Avg. 36.35 / game
 Bahia
Bahia
825
Avg. 41.25 / game
OTHERS
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
20
Played games
Bahia
Bahia
20
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.20
4
Clean sheets
5
0.25
5.25
105
Corners
107
5.35
14.35
287
Throw-ins
319
15.95
1.05
21
Offsides
25
1.25
2.40
48
GK saves
56
2.80
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
DISCIPLINARY
Bahia
Bahia
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.50
30
Yellow card
38
1.90
0.05
1
Red card
2
0.10
11.50
230
Fouls
259
12.95
8.15
163
Tackles
173
8.65
NEXT MATCHES
07/29
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
VS
Santos Santos
BRA
08/08
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
VS
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA
08/15
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
VS
Coritiba PR Coritiba PR
BRA
08/23
Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC
VS
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA
08/30
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
VS
Bragantino Bragantino
BRA
NEXT MATCHES
07/29
Fluminense RJ Fluminense RJ
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
08/09
Bahia Bahia
VS
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
BRA
08/16
Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
08/23
Vitoria BA Vitoria BA
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
08/30
Bahia Bahia
VS
Internacional RS Internacional RS
BRA

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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