Portsmouth vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 March

Betiball's prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County on 16 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Portsmouth vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Portsmouth vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 16/03/2026 16:00

Portsmouth
0 - 1
Finished
Derby County
83' event Mackenzie Kirk / Jacob Brown
77' event Colby Bishop / Adams Ebrima
77' event Adrian Segecic / Millenic Alli
67' event John Swift
63' event Conor Shaughnessy / Zak Swanson
63' event John Swift / Conor Chaplin
40' event Conor Chaplin
event 90+2' Oscar Luigi Fraulo
event 88' Joe Ward
event 86' Bobby Clark
event 83' Jaydon Banel / Ben Brereton
event 83' Craig Forsyth / Derry John Murkin
event 78' Ben Brereton
event 72' Carlton Morris / Patrick Agyemang
event 72' David Ozoh / Sammie Szmodics
event 61' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
event 53' Matthew Clarke
event 41' Sammie Szmodics
event 8' Sammie Szmodics
83' event Mackenzie Kirk / Jacob Brown
event 90+2' Oscar Luigi Fraulo
77' event Colby Bishop / Adams Ebrima
event 88' Joe Ward
77' event Adrian Segecic / Millenic Alli
event 86' Bobby Clark
67' event John Swift
event 83' Jaydon Banel / Ben Brereton
63' event Conor Shaughnessy / Zak Swanson
event 83' Craig Forsyth / Derry John Murkin
63' event John Swift / Conor Chaplin
event 78' Ben Brereton
40' event Conor Chaplin
event 72' Carlton Morris / Patrick Agyemang
event 72' David Ozoh / Sammie Szmodics
event 61' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
event 53' Matthew Clarke
event 41' Sammie Szmodics
event 8' Sammie Szmodics
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Substitutions
#10 Adrian Segecic
#6 Conor Shaughnessy
#9 Colby Bishop
#8 John Swift
#25 Mackenzie Kirk
#16 Luke Le Roux
#2 Jordan Williams
#26 Josef Bursik
#55 Dia Madiodio
Portsmouth Portsmouth Derby County Derby County
27Shots10
9Shots on Goal4
14Fouls13
11Corner Kick3
13Free kick14
1Offside2
2Yellow card6
46Aerial38
3Save9
15Successful Tackles4
13Interceptions8
25Long pass16
9Successful center2
6Shots off goal4
0Hit The Post2
19Head Success23
12Blocked2
15Tackle4
4Dribbles8
18Throw-in17
493Passes243
132Attacks65
73Dangerous attacks23
4Corner Kicks(HT)3
1BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed1
18ShotsInsideBox8
9ShotsOutsideBox2
55DuelsWon58
1.72ExpectedGoals1
0.83xGOT1.09
38Touches In Opposition Box12
41AccurateCrosses8
36GroundDuelsWon34
19AerialDuelsWon24
23Clearances55
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#29 Oscar Luigi Fraulo
#34 Jaydon Banel
#9 Carlton Morris
#18 David Ozoh
#3 Craig Forsyth
#54 Cruz Allen
#53 Rio Canoville
#44 Isaac Gordon
#52 Jack Thompson
Commentary
90+2' Oscar Luigi Fraulo - Derby County receive a yellow card
88' Joe Ward - Derby County receive a yellow card
86' Bobby Clark - Derby County receive a yellow card
83' Portsmouth — substitution: Mackenzie Kirk / Jacob Brown
83' Derby County — substitution: Jaydon Banel / Ben Brereton
83' Derby County — substitution: Craig Forsyth / Derry John Murkin
78' Ben Brereton - Derby County receive a yellow card
77' Portsmouth — substitution: Colby Bishop / Adams Ebrima
77' Portsmouth — substitution: Adrian Segecic / Millenic Alli
72' Derby County — substitution: Carlton Morris / Patrick Agyemang
72' Derby County — substitution: David Ozoh / Sammie Szmodics
67' John Swift - Portsmouth receive a yellow card
63' Portsmouth — substitution: Conor Shaughnessy / Zak Swanson
63' Portsmouth — substitution: John Swift / Conor Chaplin
61' Derby County — substitution: Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
53' Matthew Clarke - Derby County receive a yellow card
41' Sammie Szmodics - Derby County receive a yellow card
40' Conor Chaplin - Portsmouth receive a yellow card
8' Goal! Sammie Szmodics - Derby County

How We Build the Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County on 16 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Portsmouth vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Portsmouth's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Portsmouth and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less