Portsmouth vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 March

Portsmouth

W W W L W

18th place in England Championship

0-1

16/03/2026 16:00

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County on 16 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Portsmouth vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Portsmouth will face Derby County in England Championship on March 16, 2026 at 16:00.
Portsmouth are currently 18th with 55 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.10.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-03-16

Portsmouth vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Portsmouth

Derby County

2026-03-16 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

20/12/2025 11:00

Derby County

1 - 1

Portsmouth

ENG LCH

12/04/2025 10:00

Portsmouth

2 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

13/12/2024 16:00

Derby County

4 - 0

Portsmouth

ENG LCH

02/04/2024 15:00

Portsmouth

2 - 2

Derby County

ENG L1

16/09/2023 10:00

Derby County

1 - 1

Portsmouth

ENG L1

29/04/2023 10:00

Derby County

1 - 1

Portsmouth

ENG L1

Derby County

17%

Draw

83%

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Last 6 matches

10/03/2026 15:45

Portsmouth 1 - 2 Swansea City

ENG LCH

07/03/2026 08:30

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Portsmouth

ENG LCH

28/02/2026 08:30

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Hull City

ENG LCH

24/02/2026 15:45

Wrexham 2 - 1 Portsmouth

ENG LCH

21/02/2026 11:00

Millwall 1 - 3 Portsmouth

ENG LCH

17/02/2026 15:45

Charlton Athletic 1 - 3 Portsmouth

ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

10/03/2026 15:45

Millwall 1 - 0 Derby County

ENG LCH

07/03/2026 11:00

Derby County 2 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday

ENG LCH

28/02/2026 08:30

Derby County 3 - 1 Blackburn Rovers

ENG LCH

24/02/2026 15:45

Hull City 4 - 2 Derby County

ENG LCH

21/02/2026 11:00

Watford 2 - 0 Derby County

ENG LCH

14/02/2026 11:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Swansea City

ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Portsmouth

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.28

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

33 (72%)13 (28%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

42 (91%)4 (9%)

Portsmouth

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Portsmouth

Derby County

Shots

Portsmouth

Total shots

12.22 avg / game

Blocked

178 total

Avg. 4.14

Derby County

Total shots

11.00 avg / game

Blocked

149 total

Avg. 3.31

Portsmouth Pass Derby County

Total passes

17005

Avg. 370 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

15492

Avg. 337 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Portsmouth

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.26

5.67

261

Corners

211

4.59

22.85

1051

Throw-ins

1015

22.07

1.67

Offsides

1.50

2.57

118

GK saves

144

3.13

Portsmouth

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

115

2.50

0.04

0.07

10.13

466

Fouls

568

12.35

8.52

392

Tackles

423

9.20

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County on 16 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Portsmouth vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Portsmouth's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Portsmouth and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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