Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 March

Plymouth Argyle

W W W W W

1st place in England League 1

2-1

07/03/2023 16:00

Derby County

D D W W D

7th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County on 07 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Plymouth Argyle are currently 1st with 101 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 7th with 76 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Plymouth Argyle and Derby County have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-03-07

Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Plymouth Argyle

Derby County

2023-03-07 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Plymouth Argyle	101	46	31	8	7	82	47	35
02 Ipswich Town	98	46	28	14	4	101	35	66
03 Sheffield Wednesday	96	46	28	12	6	81	37	44
04 Barnsley	86	46	26	8	12	80	47	33
05 Bolton Wanderers	81	46	23	12	11	62	36	26
06 Peterborough United	77	46	24	5	17	75	54	21
07 Derby County	76	46	21	13	12	67	46	21
08 Portsmouth	70	46	17	19	10	61	50	11
09 Wycombe Wanderers	69	46	20	9	17	59	51	8
10 Charlton Athletic	62	46	16	14	16	70	66	4
11 Lincoln City	62	46	14	20	12	47	47	0
12 Shrewsbury Town	59	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9
13 Fleetwood Town	58	46	14	16	16	53	51	2
14 Exeter City	56	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4
15 Burton Albion	56	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22
16 Cheltenham Town	54	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16
17 Bristol Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15
18 Port Vale	49	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23
19 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7
20 Cambridge United	46	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27
21 Milton Keynes Dons	45	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22
22 Morecambe	44	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31
23 Accrington Stanley	44	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37
24 Forest Green Rovers	27	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58

Head To Head

03/09/2022 10:00

Derby County

2 - 3

Plymouth Argyle

ENG L1

26/01/2010 15:45

Plymouth Argyle

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/08/2009 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Plymouth Argyle

ENG LCH

07/02/2009 11:00

Plymouth Argyle

0 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

18/10/2008 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Plymouth Argyle

ENG LCH

17/02/2007 11:00

Plymouth Argyle

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG FAC

Plymouth Argyle

50%

Draw

Derby County

50%

Plymouth Argyle Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 11:00

Peterborough United 5 - 2 Plymouth Argyle ENG L1

21/02/2023 16:00

Plymouth Argyle 1 - 1 Cheltenham Town ENG JPT

18/02/2023 11:00

Plymouth Argyle 0 - 0 Fleetwood Town ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Oxford United 1 - 3 Plymouth Argyle ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Plymouth Argyle 3 - 1 Portsmouth ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Sheffield Wednesday 1 - 0 Plymouth Argyle ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

28/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 2 - 0 Cheltenham Town ENG L1

25/02/2023 11:00

Barnsley 4 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

18/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Charlton Athletic ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Lincoln City ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Wycombe Wanderers 3 - 2 Derby County ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 5 - 0 Morecambe ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

452

Avg. per game

1.51

Conceded

400

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

409

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

348

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

227 (76%)73 (24%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

234 (78%)66 (22%)

Plymouth Argyle

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Plymouth Argyle

Derby County

Shots

Plymouth Argyle

Total shots

12.40 avg / game

Blocked

864 total

Avg. 3.77

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Plymouth Argyle Pass Derby County

Total passes

96722

Avg. 375 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Plymouth Argyle

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.32

4.88

1463

Corners

1523

5.08

20.34

6102

Throw-ins

6324

21.08

1.50

451

Offsides

553

1.84

2.75

826

GK saves

682

2.27

Plymouth Argyle

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

506

528

1.76

0.07

0.05

9.37

2812

Fouls

2974

9.91

12.24

3671

Tackles

3651

12.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County on 07 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Plymouth Argyle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Plymouth Argyle and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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