Derby County vs Cheltenham Town: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Derby County

D D W W D

7th place in England League 1

2 - 0

28/02/2023 15:45

Cheltenham Town

D D W L W

16th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Cheltenham Town on 28 February 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Cheltenham Town preview before placing your bet.

Derby County will face Cheltenham Town in England League 1 on February 28, 2023 at 15:45.
Derby County are currently 7th with 76 points after 46 matches.
Cheltenham Town sit 16th with 54 points from 46 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Plymouth Argyle	101	46	31	8	7	82	47	35
02 Ipswich Town	98	46	28	14	4	101	35	66
03 Sheffield Wednesday	96	46	28	12	6	81	37	44
04 Barnsley	86	46	26	8	12	80	47	33
05 Bolton Wanderers	81	46	23	12	11	62	36	26
06 Peterborough United	77	46	24	5	17	75	54	21
07 Derby County	76	46	21	13	12	67	46	21
08 Portsmouth	70	46	17	19	10	61	50	11
09 Wycombe Wanderers	69	46	20	9	17	59	51	8
10 Charlton Athletic	62	46	16	14	16	70	66	4
11 Lincoln City	62	46	14	20	12	47	47	0
12 Shrewsbury Town	59	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9
13 Fleetwood Town	58	46	14	16	16	53	51	2
14 Exeter City	56	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4
15 Burton Albion	56	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22
16 Cheltenham Town	54	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16
17 Bristol Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15
18 Port Vale	49	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23
19 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7
20 Cambridge United	46	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27
21 Milton Keynes Dons	45	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22
22 Morecambe	44	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31
23 Accrington Stanley	44	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37
24 Forest Green Rovers	27	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58

Head To Head

14/01/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG L1

Cheltenham Town

Draw

Derby County

100%

Derby County Last 6 matches

18/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Charlton Athletic

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Lincoln City

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Wycombe Wanderers 3 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 5 - 0 Morecambe

ENG L1

30/01/2023 15:45

Derby County 0 - 2 West Ham United

ENG FAC

24/01/2023 15:45

Port Vale 1 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Cheltenham Town

21/02/2023 16:00

Plymouth Argyle 1 - 1 Cheltenham Town

ENG JPT

18/02/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 4 Barnsley

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Cambridge United 1 - 2 Cheltenham Town

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 Accrington Stanley

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Bolton Wanderers 1 - 0 Cheltenham Town

ENG L1

28/01/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 Port Vale

ENG L1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Derby County

Cheltenham Town

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

33 (72%)13 (28%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

27 (59%)19 (41%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Cheltenham Town

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Cheltenham Town

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

14.13 avg / game

Blocked

158 total

Avg. 4.05

Cheltenham Town

Total shots

11.17 avg / game

Blocked

144 total

Avg. 3.60

Derby County Pass Cheltenham Town

Total passes

19024

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

14593

Avg. 317 / game

Accurate

60%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Cheltenham Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.35

6.04

278

Corners

173

3.76

28.17

1296

Throw-ins

1202

26.13

2.15

Offsides

1.78

2.35

108

GK saves

128

2.78

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Cheltenham Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

100

2.17

0.07

0.04

10.22

470

Fouls

468

10.17

13.67

629

Tackles

672

14.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Cheltenham Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Cheltenham Town on 28 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Cheltenham Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cheltenham Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Cheltenham Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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