Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Phoenix Rising FC

D D L W W

12th place in League

0-1

04/10/2025 22:00

New Mexico United

W W W D D

5th place in League

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United preview before placing your bet.

Phoenix Rising FC are currently 12th with 40 points after 30 matches.
New Mexico United sit 5th with 48 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Phoenix Rising FC to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors New Mexico United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Phoenix Rising FC have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:00

2025-10-04

Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United - Prediction & Odds

Phoenix Rising FC

New Mexico United

2025-10-04 22:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Louisville City FC	73	30	22	7	1	56	19	37
02 Charleston Battery	62	30	19	5	6	62	32	30
03 FC Tulsa	57	30	16	9	5	50	30	20
04 Sacramento Republic FC	48	30	13	9	8	44	27	17
05 New Mexico United	48	30	14	6	10	45	41	4
06 North Carolina FC	45	30	13	6	11	40	39	1
07 Hartford Athletic	44	30	13	5	12	48	36	12
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	44	30	12	8	10	32	28	4
09 Loudoun United	42	30	12	6	12	45	48	-3
10 El Paso Locomotive FC	41	30	10	11	9	47	45	2
11 San Antonio	40	30	11	7	12	39	38	1
12 Phoenix Rising FC	40	30	9	13	8	48	48	0
13 Orange County Blues FC	39	30	10	9	11	44	45	-1
14 Rhode Island	38	30	10	8	12	29	29	0
15 Detroit City	37	30	9	10	11	33	35	-2
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	37	30	10	7	13	35	47	-12
17 Lexington	36	30	9	9	12	31	42	-11
18 Indy Eleven	35	30	10	5	15	44	52	-8
19 Tampa Bay Rowdies	34	30	9	7	14	43	50	-7
20 Oakland Roots	32	30	8	8	14	42	52	-10
21 Miami FC	30	30	8	6	16	29	44	-15
22 Monterey Bay FC	29	30	7	8	15	27	45	-18
23 Birmingham Legion	27	30	5	12	13	36	50	-14
24 Las Vegas Lights	27	30	6	9	15	23	50	-27

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 New Mexico United	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
02 Phoenix Rising FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
03 Detroit City	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
04 North Carolina FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
05 Charleston Battery	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
07 Orange County Blues FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
08 Sacramento Republic FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
09 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
10 FC Tulsa	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
11 Hartford Athletic	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
12 Rhode Island	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
13 Louisville City FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
14 El Paso Locomotive FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
15 Loudoun United	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
16 San Antonio	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2

Head To Head

31/05/2025 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC

3 - 3

New Mexico United

USA ULOC

10/05/2025 21:00

New Mexico United

1 - 2

Phoenix Rising FC

USL CH

03/11/2024 21:00

New Mexico United

2 - 1

Phoenix Rising FC

USL CH

09/10/2024 21:00

New Mexico United

1 - 2

Phoenix Rising FC

USL CH

30/03/2024 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC

0 - 1

New Mexico United

USL CH

07/10/2023 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC

1 - 2

New Mexico United

USL CH

Phoenix Rising FC

33%

Draw

17%

New Mexico United

50%

Phoenix Rising FC Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 22:35

Phoenix Rising FC 3 - 3 Oakland Roots USL CH

20/09/2025 22:00

Phoenix Rising FC 2 - 2 Loudoun United USL CH

13/09/2025 22:10

Sacramento Republic FC 2 - 2 Phoenix Rising FC USL CH

05/09/2025 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC 0 - 0 Las Vegas Lights USL CH

30/08/2025 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC 3 - 3 El Paso Locomotive FC USL CH

23/08/2025 22:30

Phoenix Rising FC 4 - 1 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC USL CH

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches New Mexico United

28/09/2025 18:00

New Mexico United 2 - 1 Lexington USL CH

24/09/2025 21:00

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1 - 2 New Mexico United USL CH

20/09/2025 22:00

Monterey Bay FC 1 - 1 New Mexico United USL CH

13/09/2025 21:00

New Mexico United 0 - 1 FC Tulsa USL CH

10/09/2025 21:00

New Mexico United 4 - 0 Detroit City USL CH

06/09/2025 20:30

San Antonio 0 - 1 New Mexico United USL CH

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Played games

Phoenix Rising FC

New Mexico United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

25 (78%)7 (22%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

26 (79%)7 (21%)

Phoenix Rising FC

Recent matches

New Mexico United

Under /Over

(72%)23 9(28%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

Under /Over

(31%)10 22(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)11 22(67%)

Under /Over

(50%)16 16(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)15 18(55%)

/Yes

(63%)20 12(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)16 17(52%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Phoenix Rising FC

New Mexico United

Shots

Phoenix Rising FC

Total shots

9.13 avg / game

Blocked

40 total

Avg. 2.50

New Mexico United

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 3.47

Phoenix Rising FC Pass New Mexico United

Total passes

12268

Avg. 383 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

14736

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Phoenix Rising FC

Played games

New Mexico United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.33

3.72

119

Corners

118

3.58

19.13

612

Throw-ins

554

16.79

2.13

Offsides

1.70

2.09

GK saves

2.76

Phoenix Rising FC

DISCIPLINARY

New Mexico United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.59

2.48

0.19

0.09

14.09

451

Fouls

433

13.12

8.63

276

Tackles

262

7.94

NEXT MATCHES

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

USL

08/22

Sacramento Republic FC

NEXT MATCHES

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

How We Build the Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Phoenix Rising FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against New Mexico United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where Phoenix Rising FC and New Mexico United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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