New Mexico United vs Lexington: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

New Mexico United

W W W D D

5th place in League

2-1

28/09/2025 18:00

Lexington

W L L L D

17th place in League

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for New Mexico United vs Lexington on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full New Mexico United vs Lexington preview before placing your bet.

New Mexico United will face Lexington in USL First Division on September 28, 2025 at 18:00.
New Mexico United are currently 5th with 48 points after 30 matches.
Lexington sit 17th with 36 points from 30 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.92.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-09-28

New Mexico United vs Lexington - Prediction & Odds

New Mexico United

Lexington

2025-09-28 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Louisville City FC	73	30	22	7	1	56	19	37
02 Charleston Battery	62	30	19	5	6	62	32	30
03 FC Tulsa	57	30	16	9	5	50	30	20
04 Sacramento Republic FC	48	30	13	9	8	44	27	17
05 New Mexico United	48	30	14	6	10	45	41	4
06 North Carolina FC	45	30	13	6	11	40	39	1
07 Hartford Athletic	44	30	13	5	12	48	36	12
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	44	30	12	8	10	32	28	4
09 Loudoun United	42	30	12	6	12	45	48	-3
10 El Paso Locomotive FC	41	30	10	11	9	47	45	2
11 San Antonio	40	30	11	7	12	39	38	1
12 Phoenix Rising FC	40	30	9	13	8	48	48	0
13 Orange County Blues FC	39	30	10	9	11	44	45	-1
14 Rhode Island	38	30	10	8	12	29	29	0
15 Detroit City	37	30	9	10	11	33	35	-2
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	37	30	10	7	13	35	47	-12
17 Lexington	36	30	9	9	12	31	42	-11
18 Indy Eleven	35	30	10	5	15	44	52	-8
19 Tampa Bay Rowdies	34	30	9	7	14	43	50	-7
20 Oakland Roots	32	30	8	8	14	42	52	-10
21 Miami FC	30	30	8	6	16	29	44	-15
22 Monterey Bay FC	29	30	7	8	15	27	45	-18
23 Birmingham Legion	27	30	5	12	13	36	50	-14
24 Las Vegas Lights	27	30	6	9	15	23	50	-27

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 New Mexico United	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
02 Phoenix Rising FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
03 Detroit City	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
04 North Carolina FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
05 Charleston Battery	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
07 Orange County Blues FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
08 Sacramento Republic FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
09 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
10 FC Tulsa	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
11 Hartford Athletic	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
12 Rhode Island	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
13 Louisville City FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
14 El Paso Locomotive FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
15 Loudoun United	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
16 San Antonio	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2

Head To Head

14/06/2025 19:00

Lexington

2 - 1

New Mexico United

USL CH

Lexington

100%

Draw

New Mexico United

New Mexico United Last 6 matches

24/09/2025 21:00

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1 - 2 New Mexico United

USL CH

20/09/2025 22:00

Monterey Bay FC 1 - 1 New Mexico United

USL CH

13/09/2025 21:00

New Mexico United 0 - 1 FC Tulsa

USL CH

10/09/2025 21:00

New Mexico United 4 - 0 Detroit City

USL CH

06/09/2025 20:30

San Antonio 0 - 1 New Mexico United

USL CH

30/08/2025 21:00

New Mexico United 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic FC

USL CH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lexington

20/09/2025 19:00

Detroit City 0 - 1 Lexington

USL CH

12/09/2025 18:00

Lexington 1 - 1 Orange County Blues FC

USL CH

05/09/2025 18:00

Lexington 2 - 1 North Carolina FC

USL CH

30/08/2025 22:30

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 Lexington

USL CH

23/08/2025 19:00

Lexington 2 - 1 Oakland Roots

USL CH

16/08/2025 21:00

San Antonio 0 - 1 Lexington

USL CH

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Played games

New Mexico United

Lexington

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

26 (79%)7 (21%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

22 (73%)8 (27%)

New Mexico United

Recent matches

Lexington

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)23 7(23%)

Under /Over

(33%)11 22(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)8 22(73%)

Under /Over

(45%)15 18(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(48%)16 17(52%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

New Mexico United

Lexington

Shots

New Mexico United

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 3.47

Lexington

Total shots

7.60 avg / game

Blocked

30 total

Avg. 2.14

New Mexico United Pass Lexington

Total passes

14736

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

9363

Avg. 312 / game

Accurate

95%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

New Mexico United

Played games

Lexington

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.27

3.58

118

Corners

108

3.60

16.79

554

Throw-ins

450

15.00

1.70

Offsides

1.00

2.76

GK saves

1.53

New Mexico United

DISCIPLINARY

Lexington

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.48

1.47

0.09

0.13

13.12

433

Fouls

275

9.17

7.94

262

Tackles

177

5.90

NEXT MATCHES

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

NEXT MATCHES

Sacramento Republic FC

Lexington

USL

How We Build the New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for New Mexico United vs Lexington on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

New Mexico United vs Lexington Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess New Mexico United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lexington's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where New Mexico United and Lexington sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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