Penafiel vs Lusitania FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Penafiel

W L W L W

14th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

2-0

16/02/2026 14:00

Lusitania FC

D L W D L

12th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Lusitania FC on 16 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Lusitania FC preview before placing your bet.

Penafiel are currently 14th with 41 points after 34 matches.
Lusitania FC sit 12th with 43 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Penafiel and Lusitania FC have each won 0 of the last 2 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-02-16

Penafiel vs Lusitania FC - Prediction & Odds

Penafiel

Lusitania FC

2026-02-16 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Maritimo	66	34	20	6	8	50	29	21
02 Viseu	59	34	17	8	9	58	33	25
03 SCU Torreense	59	34	18	5	11	46	33	13
04 Vizela	51	34	14	9	11	39	40	-1
05 Porto B	51	34	15	6	13	41	42	-1
06 Uniao Leiria	50	34	13	11	10	52	46	6
07 Leixoes	50	34	15	5	14	46	55	-9
08 Feirense	46	34	12	10	12	37	40	-3
09 GD Chaves	45	34	13	6	15	42	40	2
10 SL Benfica B	44	34	11	11	12	43	44	-1
11 FC Felgueiras	44	34	11	11	12	34	38	-4
12 Lusitania FC	43	34	11	10	13	44	52	-8
13 Sporting CP B	42	34	13	3	18	41	34	7
14 Penafiel	41	34	11	8	15	37	39	-2
15 Portimonense	40	34	11	7	16	39	49	-10
16 SC Farense	40	34	10	10	14	31	37	-6
17 Pacos de Ferreira	39	34	9	12	13	34	48	-14
18 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	34	49	-15

Head To Head

13/09/2025 09:00

Lusitania FC

0 - 0

Penafiel

POR D2

22/07/2019 12:05

Penafiel

0 - 0

Lusitania FC

INT CF

Penafiel

Draw

100%

Lusitania FC

Penafiel Last 6 matches

06/02/2026 16:15

GD Chaves 0 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

30/01/2026 14:45

Penafiel 0 - 0 Leixoes POR D2

25/01/2026 11:30

Oliveirense 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

17/01/2026 10:00

Penafiel 0 - 2 Portimonense POR D2

04/01/2026 07:00

Penafiel 1 - 2 Pacos de Ferreira POR D2

21/12/2025 14:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 SCU Torreense POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lusitania FC

07/02/2026 07:00

Lusitania FC 2 - 1 FC Felgueiras POR D2

29/01/2026 14:00

SL Benfica B 1 - 2 Lusitania FC POR D2

24/01/2026 07:00

GD Chaves 2 - 2 Lusitania FC POR D2

18/01/2026 10:00

Lusitania FC 0 - 4 Maritimo POR D2

08/01/2026 16:15

Lusitania FC 2 - 2 Leixoes POR D2

30/12/2025 16:15

SCU Torreense 0 - 1 Lusitania FC POR D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Penafiel

Lusitania FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

17 (50%)17 (50%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

19 (56%)15 (44%)

Penafiel

Recent matches

Lusitania FC

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)26 8(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(59%)20 14(41%)

/Yes

(44%)15 19(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)21 13(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penafiel

Lusitania FC

Shots

Penafiel

Total shots

9.68 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Lusitania FC

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Penafiel Pass Lusitania FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penafiel

Played games

Lusitania FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.24

4.47

152

Corners

181

5.32

20.06

682

Throw-ins

657

19.32

1.35

Offsides

1.03

0.91

GK saves

0.44

Penafiel

DISCIPLINARY

Lusitania FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.59

2.65

0.12

0.21

15.29

520

Fouls

498

14.65

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Lusitania FC on 16 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lusitania FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Lusitania FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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