Penafiel vs Lusitania FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Penafiel
WLWLW
14th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
1
2-0
FT
16/02/2026 14:00
Lusitania FC
DLWDL
12th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
Portugal Segunda Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Lusitania FC on 16 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Lusitania FC preview before placing your bet.

  • Penafiel will face Lusitania FC in Portugal Segunda Liga on February 16, 2026 at 14:00.
  • Penafiel are currently 14th with 41 points after 34 matches.
  • Lusitania FC sit 12th with 43 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.41.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:00

2026-02-16

Penafiel vs Lusitania FC - Prediction & Odds

Penafiel
Penafiel
Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
2026-02-16 14:00
37
28
35
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.41
FT
2-0 1-0
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Maritimo Maritimo
66 34 20 6 8 50 29 21
02 Viseu Viseu
59 34 17 8 9 58 33 25
03 SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
59 34 18 5 11 46 33 13
04 Vizela Vizela
51 34 14 9 11 39 40 -1
05 Porto B Porto B
51 34 15 6 13 41 42 -1
06 Uniao Leiria Uniao Leiria
50 34 13 11 10 52 46 6
07 Leixoes Leixoes
50 34 15 5 14 46 55 -9
08 Feirense Feirense
46 34 12 10 12 37 40 -3
09 GD Chaves GD Chaves
45 34 13 6 15 42 40 2
10 SL Benfica B SL Benfica B
44 34 11 11 12 43 44 -1
11 FC Felgueiras FC Felgueiras
44 34 11 11 12 34 38 -4
12 Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
43 34 11 10 13 44 52 -8
13 Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
42 34 13 3 18 41 34 7
14 Penafiel Penafiel
41 34 11 8 15 37 39 -2
15 Portimonense Portimonense
40 34 11 7 16 39 49 -10
16 SC Farense SC Farense
40 34 10 10 14 31 37 -6
17 Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira
39 34 9 12 13 34 48 -14
18 Oliveirense Oliveirense
34 34 8 10 16 34 49 -15
Head To Head
13/09/2025 09:00
Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
0 - 0
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
22/07/2019 12:05
Penafiel Penafiel
0 - 0
Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
INT CF
Lusitania FC
0
0%
Draw
2
100%
Penafiel
0
0%
Penafiel Penafiel Last 6 matches
06/02/2026 16:15
GD Chaves 0 - 1 Penafiel
POR D2
30/01/2026 14:45
Penafiel 0 - 0 Leixoes
POR D2
25/01/2026 11:30
Oliveirense 2 - 1 Penafiel
POR D2
17/01/2026 10:00
Penafiel 0 - 2 Portimonense
POR D2
04/01/2026 07:00
Penafiel 1 - 2 Pacos de Ferreira
POR D2
21/12/2025 14:00
Penafiel 1 - 0 SCU Torreense
POR D2
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
07/02/2026 07:00
Lusitania FC 2 - 1 FC Felgueiras
POR D2
29/01/2026 14:00
SL Benfica B 1 - 2 Lusitania FC
POR D2
24/01/2026 07:00
GD Chaves 2 - 2 Lusitania FC
POR D2
18/01/2026 10:00
Lusitania FC 0 - 4 Maritimo
POR D2
08/01/2026 16:15
Lusitania FC 2 - 2 Leixoes
POR D2
30/12/2025 16:15
SCU Torreense 0 - 1 Lusitania FC
POR D2
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga
Played games
Penafiel
Penafiel
34
 Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
34
Goals
Scored
37
Avg. per game
1.09
Conceded
39
Avg. per game
1.15
Scored
44
Avg. per game
1.29
Conceded
52
Avg. per game
1.53
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 34 matches
YesNo
23 (68%)11 (32%)
In last 34 matches
NoYes
26 (76%)8 (24%)
Penafiel

Penafiel

Recent matches

Lusitania FC

Lusitania FC

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)26 8(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(59%)20 14(41%)

/Yes

(44%)15 19(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)21 13(38%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Penafiel Penafiel
Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
Shots
Penafiel
Penafiel
Total shots
9.68 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
Total shots
9.00 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Penafiel Penafiel Pass Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Penafiel
Penafiel
2825
Avg. 83.09 / game
 Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
2630
Avg. 77.35 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Penafiel
Penafiel
1592
Avg. 46.82 / game
 Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
1572
Avg. 46.24 / game
OTHERS
Penafiel
Penafiel
34
Played games
Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
34
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.38
13
Clean sheets
8
0.24
4.47
152
Corners
181
5.32
20.06
682
Throw-ins
657
19.32
1.35
46
Offsides
35
1.03
0.91
31
GK saves
15
0.44
Penafiel
Penafiel
DISCIPLINARY
Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.59
88
Yellow card
90
2.65
0.12
4
Red card
7
0.21
15.29
520
Fouls
498
14.65
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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How We Build the Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Lusitania FC on 16 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lusitania FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Lusitania FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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