Pachuca vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Prediction Match Centre

Pachuca

WDLDL

9th place in Primera Division de Mexico

2-0

Toluca
Win Probability 44%

10/05/2026 16:00

Toluca

WWDDD

1st place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 10 May 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pachuca vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Pachuca will face Toluca in Primera Division de Mexico on May 10, 2026 at 16:00.
Pachuca are currently 9th with 22 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.00.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-05-10

Pachuca vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Pachuca

Toluca

2026-05-10 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 10/05/2026

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

03/05/2026 18:15

Toluca

0 - 1

Pachuca

MEX D1

22/03/2026 16:00

Pachuca

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

26/10/2025 18:00

Toluca

2 - 2

Pachuca

MEX D1

29/03/2025 16:00

Toluca

3 - 2

Pachuca

MEX D1

17/09/2024 18:00

Pachuca

2 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/03/2024 18:00

Pachuca

2 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

17%

Draw

50%

Pachuca

33%

Pachuca Last 6 matches

03/05/2026 18:15

Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca

MEX D1

25/04/2026 16:00

Pachuca 0 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

22/04/2026 20:00

Club Tijuana 3 - 1 Pachuca

MEX D1

18/04/2026 18:00

Monterrey 1 - 3 Pachuca

MEX D1

11/04/2026 18:00

Pachuca 4 - 2 Santos Laguna

MEX D1

04/04/2026 18:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Pachuca

MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

06/05/2026 18:30

Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles FC

CNCF CHL

03/05/2026 18:15

Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca

MEX D1

29/04/2026 19:30

Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 Toluca

CNCF CHL

25/04/2026 18:10

Toluca 4 - 1 Club Leon

MEX D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Mazatlan FC 4 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

18/04/2026 20:10

Club America 2 - 1 Toluca

MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Pachuca

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

20 (50%)20 (50%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

26 (62%)16 (38%)

Pachuca

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)29 11(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)30 12(29%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)14 28(67%)

Under /Over

(28%)11 29(72%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)18 24(57%)

/Yes

(50%)20 20(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)23 19(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pachuca

Toluca

Shots

Pachuca

Total shots

10.72 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 2.56

Toluca

Total shots

15.48 avg / game

Blocked

161 total

Avg. 4.35

Pachuca Pass Toluca

Total passes

12374

Avg. 317 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

17599

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pachuca

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

3.48

139

Corners

213

5.07

16.58

663

Throw-ins

732

17.43

1.13

Offsides

1.55

2.28

GK saves

2.12

Pachuca

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

2.12

0.23

0.14

10.48

419

Fouls

473

11.26

8.23

329

Tackles

362

8.62

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 10 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pachuca vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pachuca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Pachuca and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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