Pachuca vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Prediction Match Centre
Pachuca
WDLDL
9th place in Primera Division de Mexico
2
2-0
Toluca
Win Probability 44%
10/05/2026 19:00
Toluca
WWDDD
1st place in Primera Division de Mexico
Primera Division de Mexico
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 10 May 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pachuca vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

  • Pachuca will face Toluca in Primera Division de Mexico on May 10, 2026 at 19:00.
  • Pachuca are currently 9th with 22 points after 17 matches.
  • Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.00.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
19:00

2026-05-10

Pachuca vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

#
Pachuca
#
Toluca
2026-05-10 19:00
31
25
44
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
2.00
FT
2-0 1-0
-
#
22℃～23℃
STANDINGS UP TO 10/05/2026
Clausura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Toluca
37 17 11 4 2 43 18 25
02 Tigres UANL
36 17 10 6 1 35 16 19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul
35 17 10 5 2 32 20 12
04 Club America
34 17 10 4 3 33 18 15
05 Monterrey
31 17 9 4 4 33 29 4
06 Chivas Guadalajara
29 17 9 2 6 29 22 7
07 Club Tijuana
24 17 6 6 5 29 23 6
08 FC Juarez
23 17 6 5 6 27 28 -1
09 Pachuca
22 17 6 4 7 21 21 0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.
21 17 5 6 6 24 25 -1
11 Santos Laguna
20 17 6 2 9 22 28 -6
12 Queretaro FC
20 17 6 2 9 19 29 -10
13 Necaxa
17 17 4 5 8 24 32 -8
14 Atlas
17 17 4 5 8 24 35 -11
15 Atletico San Luis
16 17 5 1 11 25 29 -4
16 Mazatlan FC
14 17 2 8 7 20 29 -9
17 Club Leon
13 17 3 4 10 14 31 -17
18 Puebla
12 17 3 3 11 21 42 -21
Apertura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Pumas U.N.A.M.
36 17 10 6 1 34 17 17
02 Chivas Guadalajara
36 17 11 3 3 33 17 16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul
33 17 9 6 2 31 18 13
04 Pachuca
31 17 9 4 4 25 19 6
05 Toluca
30 17 8 6 3 28 16 12
06 Atlas
26 17 7 5 5 16 18 -2
07 Tigres UANL
25 17 7 4 6 28 18 10
08 Club America
25 17 7 4 6 20 17 3
09 Club Tijuana
23 17 5 8 4 19 17 2
10 Club Leon
22 17 7 1 9 22 32 -10
11 Queretaro FC
20 17 4 8 5 17 21 -4
12 FC Juarez
19 17 5 4 8 26 32 -6
13 Monterrey
18 17 5 3 9 22 24 -2
14 Atletico San Luis
18 17 5 3 9 24 27 -3
15 Necaxa
18 17 5 3 9 19 25 -6
16 Mazatlan FC
15 17 4 3 10 22 37 -15
17 Puebla
13 17 3 4 10 13 26 -13
18 Santos Laguna
12 17 3 3 11 20 38 -18
Head To Head
03/05/2026 21:15
Toluca Toluca
0 - 1
Pachuca Pachuca
MEX D1
22/03/2026 19:00
Pachuca Pachuca
1 - 1
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
26/10/2025 21:00
Toluca Toluca
2 - 2
Pachuca Pachuca
MEX D1
29/03/2025 19:00
Toluca Toluca
3 - 2
Pachuca Pachuca
MEX D1
17/09/2024 21:00
Pachuca Pachuca
2 - 2
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
30/03/2024 21:00
Pachuca Pachuca
2 - 3
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
Toluca
1
17%
Draw
3
50%
Pachuca
2
33%
Pachuca Pachuca Last 6 matches
03/05/2026 21:15
Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca
MEX D1
25/04/2026 19:00
Pachuca 0 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M.
MEX D1
22/04/2026 23:00
Club Tijuana 3 - 1 Pachuca
MEX D1
18/04/2026 21:00
Monterrey 1 - 3 Pachuca
MEX D1
11/04/2026 21:00
Pachuca 4 - 2 Santos Laguna
MEX D1
04/04/2026 21:00
CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Pachuca
MEX D1
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Toluca Toluca
06/05/2026 21:30
Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles FC
CNCF CHL
03/05/2026 21:15
Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca
MEX D1
29/04/2026 22:30
Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 Toluca
CNCF CHL
25/04/2026 21:10
Toluca 4 - 1 Club Leon
MEX D1
22/04/2026 21:00
Mazatlan FC 4 - 3 Toluca
MEX D1
18/04/2026 23:10
Club America 2 - 1 Toluca
MEX D1
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Primera Division de Me...
Played games
Pachuca
40
Toluca
42
Goals
Scored
54
Avg. per game
1.35
Conceded
44
Avg. per game
1.10
Scored
78
Avg. per game
1.86
Conceded
43
Avg. per game
1.02
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 40 matches
YesNo
28 (70%)12 (30%)
In last 40 matches
NoYes
31 (74%)11 (26%)

Pachuca

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)29 11(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)30 12(29%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)14 28(67%)

Under /Over

(28%)11 29(72%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)18 24(57%)

/Yes

(50%)20 20(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)23 19(45%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Pachuca
Toluca
Shots
Pachuca
Total shots
10.72 avg / game
Blocked
92 total
Avg. 2.56
Toluca
Total shots
15.48 avg / game
Blocked
161 total
Avg. 4.35
Pachuca Pass Toluca
Total passes
12374
Avg. 317 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
17599
Avg. 419 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
57%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Pachuca
2786
Avg. 69.65 / game
Toluca
3508
Avg. 83.52 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Pachuca
1251
Avg. 31.28 / game
Toluca
1719
Avg. 40.93 / game
OTHERS
Pachuca
40
Played games
Toluca
42
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.25
10
Clean sheets
13
0.31
3.48
139
Corners
213
5.07
16.58
663
Throw-ins
732
17.43
1.13
45
Offsides
65
1.55
2.28
91
GK saves
89
2.12
Pachuca
DISCIPLINARY
Toluca
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.80
72
Yellow card
89
2.12
0.23
9
Red card
6
0.14
10.48
419
Fouls
473
11.26
8.23
329
Tackles
362
8.62
NEXT MATCHES
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VS
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MEX
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MEX
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NEXT MATCHES
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07/18
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VS
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VS
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MEX
07/25
Toluca
VS
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MEX
08/02
Toluca
VS
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MEX

How We Build the Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 10 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pachuca vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pachuca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Pachuca and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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