Oxford United vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Oxford United

L D L W W

19th place in England League 1

2-3

11/03/2023 11:00

Derby County

D D W W D

7th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Oxford United vs Derby County on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Oxford United vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Oxford United will face Derby County in England League 1 on March 11, 2023 at 11:00.
Oxford United are currently 19th with 47 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 7th with 76 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.92.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2023-03-11

Oxford United vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Oxford United

Derby County

2023-03-11 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Plymouth Argyle	101	46	31	8	7	82	47	35
02 Ipswich Town	98	46	28	14	4	101	35	66
03 Sheffield Wednesday	96	46	28	12	6	81	37	44
04 Barnsley	86	46	26	8	12	80	47	33
05 Bolton Wanderers	81	46	23	12	11	62	36	26
06 Peterborough United	77	46	24	5	17	75	54	21
07 Derby County	76	46	21	13	12	67	46	21
08 Portsmouth	70	46	17	19	10	61	50	11
09 Wycombe Wanderers	69	46	20	9	17	59	51	8
10 Charlton Athletic	62	46	16	14	16	70	66	4
11 Lincoln City	62	46	14	20	12	47	47	0
12 Shrewsbury Town	59	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9
13 Fleetwood Town	58	46	14	16	16	53	51	2
14 Exeter City	56	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4
15 Burton Albion	56	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22
16 Cheltenham Town	54	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16
17 Bristol Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15
18 Port Vale	49	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23
19 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7
20 Cambridge United	46	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27
21 Milton Keynes Dons	45	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22
22 Morecambe	44	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31
23 Accrington Stanley	44	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37
24 Forest Green Rovers	27	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58

Head To Head

30/07/2022 10:00

Derby County

1 - 0

Oxford United

ENG L1

Derby County

100%

Draw

Oxford United

Oxford United Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 08:30

Oxford United 0 - 3 Bristol Rovers

ENG L1

18/02/2023 11:00

Cambridge United 1 - 0 Oxford United

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Oxford United 1 - 3 Plymouth Argyle

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 1 Oxford United

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Oxford United 0 - 1 Shrewsbury Town

ENG L1

01/02/2023 15:45

Oxford United 1 - 2 Barnsley

ENG L1

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Derby County

28/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 2 - 0 Cheltenham Town

ENG L1

25/02/2023 11:00

Barnsley 4 - 1 Derby County

ENG L1

18/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Charlton Athletic

ENG L1

14/02/2023 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Lincoln City

ENG L1

11/02/2023 11:00

Wycombe Wanderers 3 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

04/02/2023 11:00

Derby County 5 - 0 Morecambe

ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Oxford United

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.22

Scored

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

29 (63%)17 (37%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

33 (72%)13 (28%)

Oxford United

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Oxford United

Derby County

Shots

Oxford United

Total shots

14.00 avg / game

Blocked

174 total

Avg. 4.35

Derby County

Total shots

14.13 avg / game

Blocked

158 total

Avg. 4.05

Oxford United Pass Derby County

Total passes

17688

Avg. 385 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

19024

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Oxford United

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.37

5.74

264

Corners

278

6.04

26.52

1220

Throw-ins

1296

28.17

1.78

Offsides

2.15

2.70

124

GK saves

108

2.35

Oxford United

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

1.78

0.07

0.07

12.28

565

Fouls

470

10.22

13.78

634

Tackles

629

13.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Oxford United vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Oxford United vs Derby County on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Oxford United vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Oxford United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Oxford United and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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