Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 January

Newcastle United

L L W D W

12th place in English Premier League

4-3

07/01/2026 16:15

Leeds United

W D W D W

14th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Leeds United on 07 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Leeds United preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 12th with 49 points after 38 matches.
Leeds United sit 14th with 47 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Newcastle United and Leeds United have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:15

2026-01-07

Newcastle United vs Leeds United - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Leeds United

2026-01-07 16:15

STANDINGS UP TO 07/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

30/08/2025 12:30

Leeds United

0 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

13/05/2023 07:30

Leeds United

2 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

31/12/2022 11:00

Newcastle United

0 - 0

Leeds United

ENG PR

22/01/2022 11:00

Leeds United

0 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

17/09/2021 15:00

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Leeds United

ENG PR

26/01/2021 14:00

Newcastle United

1 - 2

Leeds United

ENG PR

Newcastle United

17%

Draw

67%

Leeds United

17%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 11:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

30/12/2025 15:30

Burnley 1 - 3 Newcastle United ENG PR

26/12/2025 16:00

Manchester United 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

20/12/2025 08:30

Newcastle United 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

17/12/2025 16:15

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Fulham ENG LC

14/12/2025 10:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Leeds United

04/01/2026 08:30

Leeds United 1 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

01/01/2026 13:30

Liverpool 0 - 0 Leeds United ENG PR

28/12/2025 10:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

20/12/2025 16:00

Leeds United 4 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

14/12/2025 12:30

Brentford 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

06/12/2025 13:30

Leeds United 3 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Newcastle United

Leeds United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

18 (47%)20 (53%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

18 (47%)20 (53%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Leeds United

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(58%)22 16(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

/Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Leeds United

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

145 total

Avg. 3.82

Leeds United

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

136 total

Avg. 3.58

Newcastle United Pass Leeds United

Total passes

16767

Avg. 441 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

14810

Avg. 390 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

Played games

Leeds United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.21

6.08

231

Corners

169

4.45

18.21

692

Throw-ins

698

18.37

1.29

Offsides

1.58

2.97

113

GK saves

101

2.66

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Leeds United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

1.68

0.08

0.03

9.95

378

Fouls

397

10.45

9.18

349

Tackles

395

10.39

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Leeds United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Leeds United on 07 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Leeds United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leeds United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Leeds United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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