Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 January

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Leeds United on 07 January 2026 (kick-off: 20:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Leeds United preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Starting Lineups Time : 07/01/2026 20:15

Newcastle United
4 - 3
Finished
Leeds United
90+12' event Harvey Barnes
90+1' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
81' event Alex Murphy / Anthony Gordon
76' event Jacob Ramsey / Fabian Schar
75' event Yoane Wissa / Nick Woltemade
54' event Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira
46' event Valentino Livramento / Sandro Tonali
46' event Sven Botman / Malick Thiaw
45+6' event Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira
45+3' event Anthony Gordon
36' event Harvey Barnes
7' event Malick Thiaw
event 90+10' Ethan Ampadu
event 90+7' Sebastiaan Bornauw / Joe Rodon
event 90+7' Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Brenden Aaronson
event 90+7' Ao Tanaka / Ilia Gruev
event 87' Lukas Nmecha / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
event 80' Noah Okafor / Anton Stach
event 79' Brenden Aaronson
event 45+5' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
event 32' Brenden Aaronson
event 22' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
90+12' event Harvey Barnes
event 90+10' Ethan Ampadu
90+1' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
event 90+7' Sebastiaan Bornauw / Joe Rodon
81' event Alex Murphy / Anthony Gordon
event 90+7' Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Brenden Aaronson
76' event Jacob Ramsey / Fabian Schar
event 90+7' Ao Tanaka / Ilia Gruev
75' event Yoane Wissa / Nick Woltemade
event 87' Lukas Nmecha / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
54' event Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira
event 80' Noah Okafor / Anton Stach
46' event Valentino Livramento / Sandro Tonali
event 79' Brenden Aaronson
46' event Sven Botman / Malick Thiaw
event 45+5' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
45+6' event Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira
event 32' Brenden Aaronson
45+3' event Anthony Gordon
event 22' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
36' event Harvey Barnes
7' event Malick Thiaw
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Substitutions
#9 Yoane Wissa
#4 Sven Botman
#23 Jacob Murphy
#41 Jacob Ramsey
#21 Valentino Livramento
#37 Alex Murphy
#2 Kieran Trippier
#32 Aaron Ramsdale
#28 Joseph Willock
Newcastle United Newcastle United Leeds United Leeds United
18Shots14
8Shots on Goal6
11Fouls10
8Corner Kick4
9Free kick10
1Offside0
3Yellow card2
30Aerial46
3Save3
9Successful Tackles8
9Interceptions18
24Long pass26
3Assist2
9Successful center5
5Substitution5
6Shots off goal5
2Hit The Post1
19Head Success19
4Blocked3
8Tackle7
8Dribbles7
16Throw-in15
539Passes326
114Attacks101
68Dangerous attacks47
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances3
1BigChancesMissed2
15ShotsInsideBox12
3ShotsOutsideBox2
51DuelsWon52
2.72ExpectedGoals2.05
1.47xGSetPlay0.5
1.93xGNonPenalty1.26
2.97xGOT1.84
38Touches In Opposition Box26
35AccurateCrosses14
31GroundDuelsWon33
20AerialDuelsWon19
31Clearances34
Leeds United Leeds United
Substitutions
#23 Sebastiaan Bornauw
#14 Lukas Nmecha
#29 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
#22 Ao Tanaka
#19 Noah Okafor
#10 Joel Piroe
#20 Jack Harrison
#26 Karl Darlow
#25 Sam Byram
Commentary
90+12' Goal! Harvey Barnes - Newcastle United
90+10' Ethan Ampadu - Leeds United receive a yellow card
90+7' Leeds United — substitution: Sebastiaan Bornauw / Joe Rodon
90+7' Leeds United — substitution: Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Brenden Aaronson
90+7' Leeds United — substitution: Ao Tanaka / Ilia Gruev
90+1' Penalty scored! Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura - Newcastle United
87' Leeds United — substitution: Lukas Nmecha / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
81' Newcastle United — substitution: Alex Murphy / Anthony Gordon
80' Leeds United — substitution: Noah Okafor / Anton Stach
79' Goal! Brenden Aaronson - Leeds United
76' Newcastle United — substitution: Jacob Ramsey / Fabian Schar
75' Newcastle United — substitution: Yoane Wissa / Nick Woltemade
54' Goal! Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira - Newcastle United
46' Newcastle United — substitution: Valentino Livramento / Sandro Tonali
46' Newcastle United — substitution: Sven Botman / Malick Thiaw
45+6' Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
45+5' Penalty scored! Dominic Calvert-Lewin - Leeds United
45+3' Anthony Gordon - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
36' Goal! Harvey Barnes - Newcastle United
32' Goal! Brenden Aaronson - Leeds United
22' Dominic Calvert-Lewin - Leeds United receive a yellow card
7' Malick Thiaw - Newcastle United receive a yellow card

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Leeds United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Leeds United on 07 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Leeds United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leeds United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Leeds United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less