Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

2-0

11/05/2025 07:00

Chelsea

W W W L W

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Chelsea on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 5th with 66 points after 38 matches.
Chelsea sit 4th with 69 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Newcastle United and Chelsea have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:00

2025-05-11

Newcastle United vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Chelsea

2025-05-11 07:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

30/10/2024 15:45

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Chelsea

ENG LC

27/10/2024 10:00

Chelsea

2 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

11/03/2024 16:00

Chelsea

3 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

19/12/2023 16:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG LC

25/11/2023 11:00

Newcastle United

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

26/07/2023 20:15

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Chelsea

INT CF

Newcastle United

33%

Draw

33%

Chelsea

33%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

26/04/2025 10:00

Newcastle United 3 - 0 Ipswich Town ENG PR

19/04/2025 12:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

16/04/2025 14:30

Newcastle United 5 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

13/04/2025 11:30

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

07/04/2025 15:00

Leicester City 0 - 3 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

08/05/2025 15:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 Djurgardens UEFA ECL

04/05/2025 11:30

Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

01/05/2025 15:00

Djurgardens 1 - 4 Chelsea UEFA ECL

26/04/2025 07:30

Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton ENG PR

20/04/2025 09:00

Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

17/04/2025 15:00

Chelsea 1 - 2 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Newcastle United

Chelsea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

24 (63%)14 (37%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Chelsea

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.06

Chelsea

Total shots

15.68 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.44

Newcastle United Pass Chelsea

Total passes

16950

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

19647

Avg. 517 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

Played games

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.29

5.71

217

Corners

234

6.16

18.53

704

Throw-ins

585

15.39

1.89

Offsides

1.74

3.21

122

GK saves

116

3.05

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.79

101

2.66

0.03

0.05

10.37

394

Fouls

436

11.47

15.84

602

Tackles

578

15.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Chelsea on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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