Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Chelsea on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Starting Lineups Time : 11/05/2025 07:00

Newcastle United
2 - 0
Finished
Chelsea
90+3' event Sean Longstaff / Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
90+3' event Callum Wilson / Alexander Isak
90' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
89' event Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth
85' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
65' event Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth / Anthony Gordon
64' event Jacob Murphy
55' event Lewis Miley / Sven Botman
53' event Fabian Schar
2' event Sandro Tonali
event 90+2' Levi Samuels Colwill
event 75' Malo Gusto / Romeo Lavia
event 75' Jadon Sancho / Trevoh Thomas Chalobah
event 46' Reece James / Noni Madueke
event 45+4' Enzo Fernandez
event 36' Nicolas Jackson
event 35' Nicolas Jackson Card changed
90+3' event Sean Longstaff / Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
event 90+2' Levi Samuels Colwill
90+3' event Callum Wilson / Alexander Isak
event 75' Malo Gusto / Romeo Lavia
90' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
event 75' Jadon Sancho / Trevoh Thomas Chalobah
89' event Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth
event 46' Reece James / Noni Madueke
85' event Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
event 45+4' Enzo Fernandez
65' event Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth / Anthony Gordon
event 36' Nicolas Jackson
64' event Jacob Murphy
event 35' Nicolas Jackson Card changed
55' event Lewis Miley / Sven Botman
53' event Fabian Schar
2' event Sandro Tonali
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Substitutions
#17 Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth
#9 Callum Wilson
#36 Sean Longstaff
#67 Lewis Miley
#18 William Osula
#1 Martin Dubravka
#26 John Ruddy
#6 Jamaal Lascelles
#78 Sean Neave
Newcastle United Newcastle United Chelsea Chelsea
15Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
9Fouls13
2Corner Kick8
13Free kick9
4Yellow card2
0Red card1
20Aerial20
3Save4
10Successful Tackles15
4Interceptions5
21Long pass29
2Assist0
4Substitution3
6Shots off goal3
8Head Success12
3Blocked4
10Tackle15
5Dribbles13
18Throw-in9
410Passes501
77Attacks104
58Dangerous attacks51
1Corner Kicks(HT)5
Chelsea Chelsea
Substitutions
#27 Malo Gusto
#19 Jadon Sancho
#24 Reece James
#12 Filip Jorgensen
#5 Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi
#4 Oluwatosin Adarabioyo
#22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
#32 Tyrique George
#34 Josh Acheampong
Commentary
90+3' Newcastle United — substitution: Sean Longstaff / Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura
90+3' Newcastle United — substitution: Callum Wilson / Alexander Isak
90+2' Levi Samuels Colwill - Chelsea receive a yellow card
90' Goal! Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura - Newcastle United
89' Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
85' Bruno Guimaraes Rodriguez Moura - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
75' Chelsea — substitution: Malo Gusto / Romeo Lavia
75' Chelsea — substitution: Jadon Sancho / Trevoh Thomas Chalobah
65' Newcastle United — substitution: Emil Henry ­Kristoffer Krafth / Anthony Gordon
64' Jacob Murphy - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
55' Newcastle United — substitution: Lewis Miley / Sven Botman
53' Fabian Schar - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
46' Chelsea — substitution: Reece James / Noni Madueke
45+4' Enzo Fernandez - Chelsea receive a yellow card
36' Nicolas Jackson - Chelsea receive a red card
35' VAR review - Chelsea
2' Goal! Sandro Tonali - Newcastle United

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Chelsea on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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