Lexington vs North Carolina FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 September

Lexington

W L L L D

17th place in League

2-1

05/09/2025 18:00

North Carolina FC

W D L L D

6th place in League

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lexington vs North Carolina FC on 05 September 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lexington vs North Carolina FC preview before placing your bet.

Lexington will face North Carolina FC in USL First Division on September 5, 2025 at 18:00.
Lexington are currently 17th with 36 points after 30 matches.
North Carolina FC sit 6th with 45 points from 30 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.13.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-09-05

Lexington vs North Carolina FC - Prediction & Odds

Lexington

North Carolina FC

2025-09-05 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Louisville City FC	73	30	22	7	1	56	19	37
02 Charleston Battery	62	30	19	5	6	62	32	30
03 FC Tulsa	57	30	16	9	5	50	30	20
04 Sacramento Republic FC	48	30	13	9	8	44	27	17
05 New Mexico United	48	30	14	6	10	45	41	4
06 North Carolina FC	45	30	13	6	11	40	39	1
07 Hartford Athletic	44	30	13	5	12	48	36	12
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	44	30	12	8	10	32	28	4
09 Loudoun United	42	30	12	6	12	45	48	-3
10 El Paso Locomotive FC	41	30	10	11	9	47	45	2
11 San Antonio	40	30	11	7	12	39	38	1
12 Phoenix Rising FC	40	30	9	13	8	48	48	0
13 Orange County Blues FC	39	30	10	9	11	44	45	-1
14 Rhode Island	38	30	10	8	12	29	29	0
15 Detroit City	37	30	9	10	11	33	35	-2
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	37	30	10	7	13	35	47	-12
17 Lexington	36	30	9	9	12	31	42	-11
18 Indy Eleven	35	30	10	5	15	44	52	-8
19 Tampa Bay Rowdies	34	30	9	7	14	43	50	-7
20 Oakland Roots	32	30	8	8	14	42	52	-10
21 Miami FC	30	30	8	6	16	29	44	-15
22 Monterey Bay FC	29	30	7	8	15	27	45	-18
23 Birmingham Legion	27	30	5	12	13	36	50	-14
24 Las Vegas Lights	27	30	6	9	15	23	50	-27

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 New Mexico United	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
02 Phoenix Rising FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
03 Detroit City	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
04 North Carolina FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
05 Charleston Battery	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
07 Orange County Blues FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
08 Sacramento Republic FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
09 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
10 FC Tulsa	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
11 Hartford Athletic	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
12 Rhode Island	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
13 Louisville City FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
14 El Paso Locomotive FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
15 Loudoun United	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
16 San Antonio	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2

Head To Head

07/10/2023 19:00

Lexington

0 - 1

North Carolina

USA NPSL

18/06/2023 15:00

North Carolina

2 - 2

Lexington

USA NPSL

01/04/2023 19:00

North Carolina

2 - 1

Lexington

USA NPSL

Lexington

33%

Draw

33%

North Carolina

33%

Lexington Last 6 matches

30/08/2025 22:30

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 Lexington

USL CH

23/08/2025 19:00

Lexington 2 - 1 Oakland Roots

USL CH

16/08/2025 21:00

San Antonio 0 - 1 Lexington

USL CH

09/08/2025 18:00

Lexington 2 - 0 Phoenix Rising FC

USL CH

01/08/2025 21:00

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 3 - 1 Lexington

USL CH

26/07/2025 19:00

Lexington 1 - 2 Louisville City FC

USA ULOC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches North Carolina FC

30/08/2025 19:30

North Carolina 2 - 3 Hartford Athletic

USL CH

23/08/2025 22:30

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 North Carolina

USL CH

15/08/2025 19:30

North Carolina 1 - 1 Detroit City

USL CH

09/08/2025 19:30

North Carolina 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies

USL CH

02/08/2025 20:00

Louisville City FC 4 - 1 North Carolina

USL CH

26/07/2025 19:30

North Carolina 1 - 1 Loudoun United

USA ULOC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Played games

Lexington

North Carolina FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.28

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

22 (73%)8 (27%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

26 (81%)6 (19%)

Lexington

Recent matches

North Carolina FC

Under /Over

(77%)23 7(23%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)22 10(31%)

Under /Over

(27%)8 22(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)11 21(66%)

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

/Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)18 14(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lexington

North Carolina FC

Shots

Lexington

Total shots

7.60 avg / game

Blocked

30 total

Avg. 2.14

North Carolina FC

Total shots

5.75 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 1.75

Lexington Pass North Carolina FC

Total passes

9363

Avg. 312 / game

Accurate

95%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

6732

Avg. 210 / game

Accurate

199%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lexington

Played games

North Carolina FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

3.60

108

Corners

2.31

15.00

450

Throw-ins

382

11.94

1.00

Offsides

0.75

1.53

GK saves

1.53

Lexington

DISCIPLINARY

North Carolina FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

1.28

0.13

0.00

9.17

275

Fouls

242

7.56

5.90

177

Tackles

182

5.69

NEXT MATCHES

Sacramento Republic FC

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Lexington vs North Carolina FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lexington vs North Carolina FC on 05 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lexington vs North Carolina FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lexington's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against North Carolina FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where Lexington and North Carolina FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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