Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 April

Nacional Montevideo

W L L D D

4th place in Group F

0-1

09/04/2025 18:00

Bahia

D D D W D

3rd place in Group F

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia on 09 April 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 4th with 7 points after 6 matches.
Bahia sit 3rd with 7 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 37%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-04-09

Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Bahia

2025-04-09 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/04/2025

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Internacional RS	11	6	3	2	1	12	8	4
02 Atletico Nacional Medellin	9	6	3	0	3	7	6	1
03 Bahia	7	6	2	1	3	5	7	-2
04 Nacional Montevideo	7	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

06/04/2025 16:30

Cerro Largo 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

02/04/2025 22:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

30/03/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 2 CA Juventud URU D1

26/03/2025 15:30

Liverpool URU 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

22/03/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia URU D1

16/03/2025 18:30

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bahia

06/04/2025 19:30

Santos 2 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

03/04/2025 18:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Internacional RS CON CLA

30/03/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA D1

26/03/2025 18:00

Bahia 3 - 2 Ceara BRA CNF

23/03/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA 1 - 1 Bahia BRA CBD

19/03/2025 18:00

Centro Sportivo Alagoano 1 - 2 Bahia BRA CNF

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Played games

Goals

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

447

Avg. per game

1.49

Conceded

322

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

235 (78%)65 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

232 (77%)68 (23%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Bahia

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Bahia

Total shots

12.65 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 3.29

Nacional Montevideo Pass Bahia

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

81925

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.50

1351

Corners

1548

5.16

1.04

312

Throw-ins

2467

8.22

0.26

Offsides

277

0.92

1.49

447

GK saves

535

1.78

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

567

1.89

0.14

0.09

2.12

636

Fouls

2435

8.12

2.42

727

Tackles

2621

8.74

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia on 09 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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