Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 April

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia on 09 April 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia: Starting Lineups Time : 09/04/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo
0 - 1
Finished
Bahia
90+6' event Paolo Calione
81' event Yonathan Rodríguez
79' event Mauricio Pereyra / Christian Oliva
76' event Emiliano Ancheta
72' event Jeremia Recoba / Romulo Otero Vasquez
72' event Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume / Gabriel Alejandro Baez Corradi
57' event Yonathan Rodríguez / Luciano Boggio Albin
57' event Nicolas Federico Lopez Alonso / Eduardo Jesus Vargas Rojas
event 82' Rodrigo Nestor / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
event 82' Kayky / Cauly Oliveira Souza
event 76' Ademir Santos / Erick Da Costa Farias
event 65' Erick Da Costa Farias
event 64' Willian Jose / Luciano Rodriguez Rosales
event 64' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Everton Augusto de Barros Ribeiro
event 45+1' Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
event 11' Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
90+6' event Paolo Calione
event 82' Rodrigo Nestor / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
81' event Yonathan Rodríguez
event 82' Kayky / Cauly Oliveira Souza
79' event Mauricio Pereyra / Christian Oliva
event 76' Ademir Santos / Erick Da Costa Farias
76' event Emiliano Ancheta
event 65' Erick Da Costa Farias
72' event Jeremia Recoba / Romulo Otero Vasquez
event 64' Willian Jose / Luciano Rodriguez Rosales
72' event Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume / Gabriel Alejandro Baez Corradi
event 64' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Everton Augusto de Barros Ribeiro
57' event Yonathan Rodríguez / Luciano Boggio Albin
event 45+1' Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
57' event Nicolas Federico Lopez Alonso / Eduardo Jesus Vargas Rojas
event 11' Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
Substitutions
#26 Bruno Arady
#7 Nicolas Federico Lopez Alonso
#19 Lucas Morales
#10 Mauricio Pereyra
#9 Gonzalo Petit
#2 Nicolas Ramos Invernizzi
#18 Jeremia Recoba
#77 Nicolas Rodriguez
#5 Yonathan Rodríguez
#27 Diego Romero Lanz
#25 Ignacio Suarez
#16 Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo Bahia Bahia
13Shots10
5Shots on Goal1
15Fouls10
6Corner Kick3
10Free kick15
3Offside1
3Yellow card2
0Save5
11Interceptions7
26Long pass19
8Shots off goal9
8Tackle14
5Dribbles17
21Throw-in10
355Passes473
87Attacks111
50Dangerous attacks40
3Corner Kicks(HT)3
Bahia Bahia
Substitutions
#7 Ademir Santos
#19 Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
#1 Danilo Fernandes
#2 Gilberto Moraes Junior
#37 Kayky
#22 Marcos Felipe de Freitas Monteiro
#26 Nicolas Acevedo
#21 Santiago Ramos Mingo
#5 Julio Cesar de Rezende
#11 Rodrigo Nestor
#77 Tiago
#12 Willian Jose
Commentary
90+6' Paolo Calione - Nacional Montevideo receive a yellow card
82' Bahia — substitution: Rodrigo Nestor / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
82' Bahia — substitution: Kayky / Cauly Oliveira Souza
81' Yonathan Rodríguez - Nacional Montevideo receive a yellow card
79' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Mauricio Pereyra / Christian Oliva
76' Emiliano Ancheta - Nacional Montevideo receive a yellow card
76' Bahia — substitution: Ademir Santos / Erick Da Costa Farias
72' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Jeremia Recoba / Romulo Otero Vasquez
72' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume / Gabriel Alejandro Baez Corradi
65' Goal! Erick Da Costa Farias - Bahia
64' Bahia — substitution: Willian Jose / Luciano Rodriguez Rosales
64' Bahia — substitution: Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Everton Augusto de Barros Ribeiro
57' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Yonathan Rodríguez / Luciano Boggio Albin
57' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Nicolas Federico Lopez Alonso / Eduardo Jesus Vargas Rojas
45+1' Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho - Bahia receive a yellow card
11' Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira - Bahia receive a yellow card

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia on 09 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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