Morocco vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Morocco
WDWWW
1st place in Group B
1
1-1
FT
26/12/2025 16:00
Mali
DDWWL
1st place in Group I
African Nations Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Morocco vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

  • Morocco are currently 1st with 18 points after 6 matches.
  • Mali sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Morocco to win with probability 63%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Morocco, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Mali have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2025-12-26

Morocco vs Mali - Prediction & Odds

Morocco
Morocco
Mali
Mali
2025-12-26 16:00
63
23
14
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
1.40
FT
1-1 1-0
-
weather
7℃～8℃
STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2025
Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Morocco Morocco
18 6 6 0 0 26 2 24
02 Gabon Gabon
10 6 3 1 2 7 9 -2
03 Lesotho Lesotho
4 6 1 1 4 2 13 -11
04 Central African Republic Central African Republic
3 6 1 0 5 3 14 -11
Group I PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Mali Mali
14 6 4 2 0 10 1 9
02 Mozambique Mozambique
11 6 3 2 1 9 5 4
03 Guinea Bissau Guinea Bissau
5 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2
04 Eswatini Eswatini
2 6 0 2 4 2 13 -11
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Morocco Morocco
7 3 2 1 0 6 1 5
02 Mali Mali
3 3 0 3 0 2 2 0
03 Comoros Comoros
2 3 0 2 1 0 2 -2
04 Zambia Zambia
2 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3
Head To Head
07/02/2021 15:00
Mali Mali
0 - 2
Morocco Morocco
CAF SC
05/09/2017 15:00
Mali Mali
0 - 0
Morocco Morocco
WCPAF
01/09/2017 16:00
Morocco Morocco
6 - 0
Mali Mali
WCPAF
06/03/2013 15:00
Morocco Morocco
2 - 1
Mali Mali
INT CF
28/05/2006 11:00
Mali Mali
1 - 0
Morocco Morocco
INT CF
11/02/2004 14:00
Morocco Morocco
4 - 0
Mali Mali
CAF NC
Morocco
4
67%
Draw
1
17%
Mali
1
17%
Morocco Morocco Last 6 matches
21/12/2025 15:00
Morocco 2 - 0 Comoros CAF NC
18/12/2025 12:00
Jordan 2 - 2 Morocco ARAB CUP
15/12/2025 10:30
Morocco 3 - 0 United Arab Emirates ARAB CUP
11/12/2025 10:30
Morocco 1 - 0 Syria ARAB CUP
08/12/2025 13:00
Morocco 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia ARAB CUP
05/12/2025 10:30
Oman 0 - 0 Morocco ARAB CUP
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Mali Mali
22/12/2025 10:00
Mali 1 - 1 Zambia CAF NC
18/11/2025 14:00
Jordan 0 - 0 Mali INT FRL
12/10/2025 15:00
Mali 4 - 1 Madagascar WCPAF
08/10/2025 12:00
Chad 0 - 2 Mali WCPAF
08/09/2025 15:00
Ghana 1 - 0 Mali WCPAF
04/09/2025 15:00
Mali 3 - 0 Comoros WCPAF
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues African Nations Cup
Played games
Morocco
Morocco
67
 Mali
Mali
39
Goals
Scored
133
Avg. per game
1.99
Conceded
26
Avg. per game
0.39
Scored
69
Avg. per game
1.77
Conceded
21
Avg. per game
0.54
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 67 home matches
YesNo
59 (88%)8 (12%)
In last 67 home matches
NoYes
31 (79%)8 (21%)
Morocco

Morocco

Recent matches

Mali

Mali

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)24 15(38%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)8 31(79%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)17 22(56%)

/Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)12 27(69%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Morocco Morocco
Mali Mali
Shots
Morocco
Morocco
Total shots
13.64 avg / game
Blocked
94 total
Avg. 3.36
Mali
Mali
Total shots
11.85 avg / game
Blocked
29 total
Avg. 3.22
Morocco Morocco Pass Mali Mali
Total passes
17919
Avg. 512 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
60%
Total passes
6035
Avg. 431 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Morocco
Morocco
6210
Avg. 92.69 / game
 Mali
Mali
3380
Avg. 86.67 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Morocco
Morocco
3673
Avg. 54.82 / game
 Mali
Mali
1938
Avg. 49.69 / game
OTHERS
Morocco
Morocco
67
Played games
Mali
Mali
39
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.67
45
Clean sheets
24
0.62
5.16
346
Corners
163
4.18
9.43
632
Throw-ins
243
6.23
1.31
88
Offsides
37
0.95
1.19
80
GK saves
37
0.95
Morocco
Morocco
DISCIPLINARY
Mali
Mali
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.01
68
Yellow card
51
1.31
0.06
4
Red card
5
0.13
9.24
619
Fouls
260
6.67
5.81
389
Tackles
180
4.62
NEXT MATCHES
09/23
Morocco Morocco
VS
Gabon Gabon
CAF
09/27
Lesotho Lesotho
VS
Morocco Morocco
CAF
NEXT MATCHES
09/23
Mali Mali
VS
Cape Verde Cape Verde
CAF
09/27
Liberia Liberia
VS
Mali Mali
CAF

How We Build the Morocco vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Morocco vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Morocco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Morocco and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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