Mali vs Madagascar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Prediction Match Centre

Mali

3rd place in FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

4-1

Mali
Win Probability 62%

12/10/2025 15:00

Madagascar

2nd place in FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Madagascar on 12 October 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Madagascar preview before placing your bet.

Mali will face Madagascar in FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) on October 12, 2025 at 15:00.
Mali are currently 3rd with 18 points after 10 matches.
Madagascar sit 2nd with 19 points from 10 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.41.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-10-12

Mali vs Madagascar - Prediction & Odds

Mali

Madagascar

2025-10-12 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2025

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ghana	25	10	8	1	1	23	6	17
02 Madagascar	19	10	6	1	3	17	12	5
03 Mali	18	10	5	3	2	17	6	11
04 Comoros	15	10	5	0	5	12	13	-1
05 Central African Republic	8	10	2	2	6	11	24	-13
06 Chad	1	10	0	1	9	5	24	-19

Head To Head

11/06/2024 09:00

Madagascar

0 - 0

Mali

WCPAF

Madagascar

Draw

100%

Mali

Mali Last 6 matches

08/09/2025 15:00

Ghana 1 - 0 Mali

WCPAF

04/09/2025 15:00

Mali 3 - 0 Comoros

WCPAF

05/06/2025 14:00

Democratic Rep Congo 1 - 0 Mali

INT FRL

24/03/2025 12:00

Mali 0 - 0 Central African Republic

WCPAF

20/03/2025 17:00

Comoros 0 - 3 Mali

WCPAF

29/12/2024 12:00

Mali 0 - 0 Mauritania

CAF SC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Madagascar

08/09/2025 12:00

Madagascar 3 - 1 Chad

WCPAF

04/09/2025 12:00

Madagascar 2 - 0 Central African Republic

WCPAF

30/08/2025 11:00

Madagascar 2 - 3 Morocco

CAF SC

26/08/2025 10:30

Madagascar 0 - 0 Sudan

CAF SC

22/08/2025 10:00

Kenya 1 - 1 Madagascar

CAF SC

16/08/2025 13:00

Burkina Faso 1 - 2 Madagascar

CAF SC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Played games

Mali

Madagascar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 10 matches

YesNo

7 (70%)3 (30%)

In last 10 matches

NoYes

7 (70%)3 (30%)

Mali

Recent matches

Madagascar

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)8 2(20%)

Under /Over

(10%)1 9(90%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)2 8(80%)

Under /Over

(60%)6 4(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

/Yes

(40%)4 6(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)5 5(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Madagascar

Shots

Mali

Total shots

11.78 avg / game

Blocked

7 total

Avg. 3.50

Madagascar

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Mali Pass Madagascar

Total passes

Avg. 1 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

Avg. 2 / game

Accurate

100%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Madagascar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.50

Clean sheets

0.30

5.40

Corners

4.70

6.70

Throw-ins

8.00

2.50

Offsides

0.80

GK saves

2.10

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Madagascar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

2.20

0.00

0.10

11.20

112

Fouls

122

12.20

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mali vs Madagascar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Madagascar on 12 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Madagascar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Madagascar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) form table to understand exactly where Mali and Madagascar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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