Morocco vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Betiball's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Morocco vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

Morocco vs Mali: Starting Lineups Time : 26/12/2025 16:00

Morocco
1 - 1
Finished
Mali
82' event Eliesse Ben Seghir / Sofyan Amrabat
82' event Soufiane Rahimi / Ismael Saibari Ben El Basra
71' event Bilal El Khannouss / Brahim Diaz
71' event Abdessamad Ezzalzouli / Azzedine Ounahi
70' event Youssef En-Nesyri / Ayoub El Kaabi
52' event Naif Aguerd
45+5' event Brahim Diaz
45+2' event Brahim Diaz Penalty awarded
event 90+7' Nene Dorgeles
event 90+1' Nene Dorgeles / Mamadou Sangare
event 90+1' Kamory Doumbia / Mahamadou Doumbia
event 82' Djigui Diarra
event 76' El Bilal Toure / Lassine Sinayoko
event 64' Lassine Sinayoko
event 63' Lassine Sinayoko
event 61' Lassine Sinayoko Penalty awarded
event 57' Gaoussou Diarra / Yves Bissouma
event 51' Woyo Coulibaly
event 50' Mahamadou Doumbia
event 45+4' Abdoulaye Diaby
event 22' Ousmane Camara
82' event Eliesse Ben Seghir / Sofyan Amrabat
event 90+7' Nene Dorgeles
82' event Soufiane Rahimi / Ismael Saibari Ben El Basra
event 90+1' Nene Dorgeles / Mamadou Sangare
71' event Bilal El Khannouss / Brahim Diaz
event 90+1' Kamory Doumbia / Mahamadou Doumbia
71' event Abdessamad Ezzalzouli / Azzedine Ounahi
event 82' Djigui Diarra
70' event Youssef En-Nesyri / Ayoub El Kaabi
event 76' El Bilal Toure / Lassine Sinayoko
52' event Naif Aguerd
event 64' Lassine Sinayoko
45+5' event Brahim Diaz
event 63' Lassine Sinayoko
45+2' event Brahim Diaz Penalty awarded
event 61' Lassine Sinayoko Penalty awarded
event 57' Gaoussou Diarra / Yves Bissouma
event 51' Woyo Coulibaly
event 50' Mahamadou Doumbia
event 45+4' Abdoulaye Diaby
event 22' Ousmane Camara
Morocco Morocco
Substitutions
#9 Soufiane Rahimi
#23 Bilal El Khannouss
#19 Youssef En-Nesyri
#17 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
#13 Eliesse Ben Seghir
#21 Chemsdine Talbi
#14 Oussama Targhalline
#27 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
#28 Youssef Belammari
#22 Mehdi Harrar
#15 Mohamed Chibi
#25 Adam Masina
#12 Munir Mohand Mohamedi El Kajoui
#2 Achraf Hakimi
#16 Ilias Akhomach
Morocco Morocco Mali Mali
15Shots5
4Shots on Goal1
15Fouls22
6Corner Kick0
21Free kick14
2Offside2
1Yellow card7
30Aerial30
0Save4
12Successful Tackles18
11Interceptions13
17Long pass17
6Successful center1
7Shots off goal1
14Head Success16
4Blocked3
12Tackle17
5Dribbles5
28Throw-in16
466Passes297
118Attacks86
54Dangerous attacks17
1Corner Kicks(HT)0
5BigChances1
4BigChancesMissed0
11ShotsInsideBox3
4ShotsOutsideBox2
57DuelsWon65
2.9ExpectedGoals0.95
1.68xGOpenPlay0.14
2.11xGNonPenalty0.16
1.2xGOT0.74
30Touches In Opposition Box8
21AccurateCrosses1
43GroundDuelsWon48
14AerialDuelsWon17
9Clearances39
Mali Mali
Substitutions
#21 Gaoussou Diarra
#7 Nene Dorgeles
#9 El Bilal Toure
#19 Kamory Doumbia
#24 Ibrahima Sissoko
#14 Mamadou Camara
#18 Mamadou Doumbia
#27 Gaoussou Diakite
#22 Mamadou Samassa
#4 Amadou Haidara
#15 Mamadou Fofana
#12 Mohamed Camara
#13 Fode Doucoure
#3 Amadou Dante
#1 Ismael Diawara
Commentary
90+7' Nene Dorgeles - Mali receive a yellow card
90+1' Mali — substitution: Nene Dorgeles / Mamadou Sangare
90+1' Mali — substitution: Kamory Doumbia / Mahamadou Doumbia
82' Morocco — substitution: Eliesse Ben Seghir / Sofyan Amrabat
82' Morocco — substitution: Soufiane Rahimi / Ismael Saibari Ben El Basra
82' Djigui Diarra - Mali receive a yellow card
76' Mali — substitution: El Bilal Toure / Lassine Sinayoko
71' Morocco — substitution: Bilal El Khannouss / Brahim Diaz
71' Morocco — substitution: Abdessamad Ezzalzouli / Azzedine Ounahi
70' Morocco — substitution: Youssef En-Nesyri / Ayoub El Kaabi
64' Penalty scored! Lassine Sinayoko - Mali
63' Lassine Sinayoko - Mali receive a yellow card
61' VAR review - Mali
57' Mali — substitution: Gaoussou Diarra / Yves Bissouma
52' Naif Aguerd - Morocco receive a yellow card
51' Woyo Coulibaly - Mali receive a yellow card
50' Mahamadou Doumbia - Mali receive a yellow card
45+5' Penalty scored! Brahim Diaz - Morocco
45+4' Abdoulaye Diaby - Mali receive a yellow card
45+2' VAR review - Morocco
22' Ousmane Camara - Mali receive a yellow card

How We Build the Morocco vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Morocco vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Morocco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Morocco and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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